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Jan 14, 2006 Election Update: NDP Gaining in Ontario
Saturday January 14th 2006, 6:42 pm
Filed under: Canadian Politics, - 2006 Canada Election

I have updated Strategic Counsel, SES and EKOS to their latest polls. NDP is gaining strength in Ontario. Bloc rebounds a bit outside of Montreal. For complete details, see:

http://election.democraticSPACE.com

My 5-poll rolling average yields a Conservative minority with the Bloc Quebecois or NDP holding the balance of power.

Note:
CPC+BQ=193
CPC+NDP=164
LPC+BQ=144
LPC+NDP=115

2006 PROJECTED RESULTS - 14 Jan
LPC
CPC
NDP
GRN
BQ
OTH
TOTAL SEATS
84
133
31
0
60
0
% OF SEATS
27%
43%
10%
0%
20%
0%


8 Comments/commentaires
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WOOO-HOOO! democraticSPACE just got a well-deserved plug on CBC Newsworld’s ‘Saturday Report’. Let’s hope lots of Canadians check it out. I especially hope they take the time to read ‘Making Every Vote Count’.
That’s the future of our country. Way to go Mr. Morrow!

Comment/commentaire by DougP 01.15.06 @ 8:25 am

The battle so often seems political trite and lacking weight. Yet I believe that in the election are the symptoms of the daily battle that is going on for the hearts of Canadians. One that seems to be about as Msr. Martin would say “Canadian Values”. While I grew up being taught that values and especially “good values” where universal, which I assumed meant that irrespective of politics right was right and wrong was wrong. Little did I know that there was Canadian right, which is political left and Canadian wrong which is politcal right. :) I have learned that what is right is not right if it is also practiced by the right in the USA and conversely wrong is ….dang this is confusing. I guess right is right when practiced by the left in Canada, which of course claims that there is no absolute right or wrong, unless the say so, and nothing is wrong except anything that Stephen Harper says is right. I have digressed.
It is time for Canada to have a hard look at itself. Call a spade a spade and recognize, really a need for national change, maybe even repentance. We have become the judgemental people we say we despise. The critcisms and attacks that are made of those who stand in the way of the left and progressive socialism is stark. Christians and other religious minority’s are slandered in the news paper as extremists, this unchallenged, where as a slur on extremist gays would be cause for uproar.
We have lost our hearts and with it our sense of right and wrong. The symptoms of broken family’s, citizen’s gunned down in the streets, gangs,school kids being abused and attacked by their peers, teachers afraid in the classroom, and all the other many issues we here day to day on radio and in the paper that give us heartache are a result of our being lost. What policy or dollar figure will fix these things? None, only a change of hearts.
We have become a people whose number one concern is not for our neighbours good and society as a whole,(stated liberal causes I might add,) but rather for their own selfish desires. We have equated freedom lately as license for sexual confusion and deviancy, drug use, theft of public money, prosecution of those who disagree with us
and the list goes on.
Though I may be a conservative, Mr.Harper is not the answer to this either. The change must come from the streets and fields of Canada. We must get back to the right and wrong as given to us by our creator Jehovah, God. Think about the 10 commandments. Is “you shall not steal” so bad, or “you shall not bear false witness”, i.e. lie. Or what about “honour your father and mother”, i.e. respect authority, changes in attituase like that might help out the gang situation. Should we be proud of being adulterers or would that be a good thing to change, might save a few family’s if we could work that into the curriculum.
Point is we all know what is true and right, these commands are for our good. It’s that selfish pride that says we don’t want to it anyway, so let’s just call it “religious”, get it out of the public square and at least we won’t feel so bad when we see that behavior we justify wrecking things.

Repent Canada, it is past time, and it is up to us. Find a church that teaches right from wrong, yeah I know many are hypocrtical, but there are still many out there doing it right. Find one tomorrow.

Comment/commentaire by happy wonderer 01.15.06 @ 10:07 am

Yes, CBC sent me here and I love this space. The entire ’strategic voting’ commentary and analysis is fantastic. I also love the Pro Proportional Rep stance being put forward…

I have forwarded this link to a number of people tonight and I plan to return regularly from now on. Excellent!

Comment/commentaire by Louise M 01.15.06 @ 10:10 am

Latest Polling Data

This post has been post dated to January 22 to keep it at the top of the page. Please scroll down for other posts that may be newer. Posted @ 11:30am CST Jan.15 National Poll Results Date Poll Lib CPC…

Trackback by Peace, order and good government, eh? 01.15.06 @ 10:58 am

I used to vote Liberal. After seeing what I have seen up close, I am happy to see the Conservatives gaining a good deal of ground, and hope for a Conservative majority government. Here’s why:

Paul Martin says they are being fiscally responsible. This is not true.

When I was a senior fraud investigator for the federal government, I was frequently dismayed over the inaction of the liberal government to act, which is one of the reasons I left public service. Many times I brought issues forward; many times they were refused. When I instructed my investigators to act, always within the law, yet without the blessings of the hand-wringing bureaucracy in Ottawa, it became quite a show of fireworks. The Old Age Pension and Canada Pension Plan are both seeing millions of dollars either written off (under one piece of legislation) or “remitted” (under the other) EVERY MONTH. Ottawa has had all the information it required in order to see changes introduced to these Acts, yet refused to do so. If you want your money to be available in your later years, ensure it is by demanding amendments so the legislation is effective.

It was suggested that we not pursue particular courses of action, because it would “embarrass the Minister”. So what? It’s not his money being wasted; it belongs to the people of Canada who put him in power. This was frequently the excuse for inaction.

I know of reports which went to the ADM’s desk which were refused, and required to be shredded. If you don’t have the numbers to show how ineffective the government is in stopping the flood of money being wasted, then the opposition party cannot have access to this information.

The liberals have left criminals on the streets after committing crimes in order to cut the cost of housing them. Then, after being convicted, they are still left out on the street. They have to pay for other programs, and leaving criminals on the street helps them pay for this. How nice of them to leave their citizens more at risk. Everyone pays for this. “Balanced Budgets” are not the only thing needing a better balance. The government has no “bottom line”; it is not a business. The only money it has is OUR money, and we should force them to use it properly.

I believe a Conservative government will be much better at managing our money, and responding to the needs and wants of real Canadians. This, of course, is not what the liberals do; they try to tell us what our values are, which are really the values they unashamedly force upon us against our will.

Canada, it is time to wake up and make a decisive change in the way this country does business. I once voted liberal. Never again. I have seen the results. A Conservative majority government is the only real way to make a positive change, or at the very least, stop the liberals from taking the country down any further. We need stability in this nation we all call home.

Make your vote count.

Comment/commentaire by Dave 01.15.06 @ 11:50 am

Great stuff!! this site was mentioned on CBC and its better than I had hoped… great comments, feedback, information and opinion… my reply is pure emotion right now… love it!! going to collect my thoughts and send something thoughtful, insightful, and informative later… right now its just to let you know.. I am happy to have found you!!!

Comment/commentaire by Manny F. 01.15.06 @ 8:28 pm

This is a great site.
Now that it has been mentioned on CBC, be prepared for political hacks who will try to throw doubt on the figures, the strategy and the polls. Here are a some touchstones with which to test for the truth.
Follow the money, i.e. who has the most to lose? surely those with the most to lose are the Liberals and their friends who have washed our taxes into progarm dollars into corporations that make donations to the Liberals. They will be the most desperate and say the most outrageous things about their opponents. Unfortunately any corporation that receives tax dollars will be suspect, so it is in every honest corporation’s interest to support relection rules that prohibit the making of large donations to political parties by corporate officers, and their direct family members (wives, parents, sons, daughters and their offspring).
Unions too are suspect as they negotiate with the governments formed by the parties they support. We remeber how Bob Rae ‘ NDP allowed civil servants and nurses salaries to rise so much that they almost bankrupted Ontario. I once ran as a trustee in Toronto against an NDP candidate and couldn’t believe the number of union personnel who were seconded to her campaign. Needless to say I came in second and she went on to oversee the negotiations with the same unions that had supported her. Her husband’s firm had the legal contract for that union. Was I ever naive in thinking that boards of education existed for the good of the sudents. In toronto we now see a similar situation with the mayor and he is tobe commended for cutting out the monetary donations, yet I wonder what he is doing about the ‘in-kind” donations.
I digress.
Getting the Conservatives to govern will be a breath of fresh air. Then after a while they will build up a record for governing and in the next election Canadians will have a real choice. Of course the Conservatives will have to address the issue of rep by pop and if they don’t they will do Canada a great disservice. Think of what rep-by-pop will do to the Bloc and thus for canadian unity.
So, another touchstone is how the parties deal with the rep-by-pop issue in this election and in the next parliament. parties that favour this long overdue reform are the ones interested in acountable government of the people by the people.
Enoygh already. I’ll post more later.

Comment/commentaire by Agricola 01.15.06 @ 10:56 pm

Why is it that the Conservative Party and Conservative minded people in general are always held to a higher standard of excellence than any of the other parties in this election.

In spite of the bar being set higher for the Conservatives, it would appear the polls show a breakthrough for the New Conservative Party, its candidates and especially its leadership. Rock on!!!

Comment/commentaire by Pops Taylor 01.16.06 @ 12:49 am



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