I have added 3 new polls: Jan 6 SES, Jan 7 Ipsos-Reid and Jan 7 EKOS, all of which show the Conservatives gaining and the NDP rising slightly, with the Liberals continuing to drop. My rolling average now includes the following polls:

Jan 7 EKOS
Jan 7 Ipsos-Reid
Jan 6 SES
Jan 5 Leger
Jan 4 Strategic Counsel

For complete details, see:

http://election.democraticSPACE.com

My 5-poll rolling average yields a Conservative minority with the Bloc Quebecois holding the balance of power.

Note:
CPC+BQ=179
LPC+BQ=156
CPC+NDP=152
LPC+NDP=129

	2006 PROJECTED RESULTS - 4-7 Jan
	LPC	CPC	NDP	GRN	BQ	OTH
TOTAL SEATS	97	120	32	0	59	0
% OF SEATS	31%	39%	10%	0%	20%	0%

The above is based on the following regional averages (change from 2004 in parenthesis):

NATIONAL
Conservative 34.2% (+4.6%)
Liberal 31.6% (-5.1%)
NDP 17.2% (+1.5%)
Bloc Quebecois 11.2% (-1.2%)
Green 5.2% (+0.9%)

ONTARIO
Liberal 37.6% (-7.1%)
Conservative 35.0% (+3.5%)
NDP 20.0% (+1.9%)
Green 6.2% (+1.7%)

QUEBEC
Bloc Quebecois 47.0% (-1.9%)
Liberal 24.6% (-9.3%)
Conservative 16.6% (+7.8%)
NDP 8.2% (+3.6%)
Green 2.8% (-0.4%)

BRITISH COLUMBIA
Conservative 37.8% (+1.5%)
Liberal 31.2% (+2.6%)
NDP 23.8% (-2.7%)
Green 6.6% (+0.3%)

ALBERTA
Conservative 58.8% (-2.8%)
Liberal 22.6% (+0.6%)
NDP 12.0% (+2.4%)
Green 6.4% (+0.2%)

PRAIRIES
Conservative 43.8% (+3.5%)
Liberal 28.4% (-2.0%)
NDP 21.0% (-2.5%)
Green 4.6% (+1.9%)

ATLANTIC CANADA
Liberal 43.6% (-2.6%)
Conservative 34.4% (+3.9%)
NDP 18.6% (-1.2%)
Green 3.4% (+0.3%)

Note: remainder is ‘Other’