Live-Blogging: Parkdale-High Park By-Election
Thursday September 14th 2006, 4:04 pm
Filed under: Canadian Politics

8:04pm
Elections Ontario results site launched.

8:09pm
Frank de Jong leads! OK, the first 2 votes went to de Jong. Don’t get too excited.

8:12pm
60 votes in. Watson 31, DiNovo 14, Hutcheon 5, de Jong 4.

8:17pm
343 votes in.
Watson 151 (44.0%)
DiNovo 78 (22.7%)
Hutcheon 77 (22.4%)
de Jong 13 (3.8%)

8:20pm
443 votes in.
Watson 181 (40.9%)
DiNovo 112 (25.3%)
Hutcheon 96 (21.7%)
de Jong 24 (5.4%)

8:25pm
894 votes in. 17 polls out of 220.
Watson 366 (40.9%)
DiNovo 260 (29.1%)
Hutcheon 167 (18.7%)
de Jong 55 (6.2%)

8:28pm
1391 votes in. 22 polls out of 220.
Watson’s Lead is shrinking.
Watson 543 (39.0%)
DiNovo 450 (32.4%)
Hutcheon 258 (18.5%)
de Jong 88 (6.3%)

8:30pm
2582 votes in. 33 polls out of 220.
Watson 951 (36.8%)
DiNovo 933 (36.1%)
Hutcheon 475 (18.4%)
de Jong 143 (5.5%)

8:32pm
2939 votes in. 39 polls out of 220.
Watson 1117 (38.0%)
DiNovo 1024 (34.8%)
Hutcheon 545 (18.5%)
de Jong 160 (5.4%)

8:35pm
3332 votes in. 43 polls out of 220.
Very tight. Just 18 votes difference!
Watson 1233 (37.0%)
DiNovo 1215 (36.5%)
Hutcheon 606 (18.2%)
de Jong 177 (5.3%)

8:37pm
4022 votes in. 48 polls out of 220.
DiNovo Takes the Lead.
DiNovo 1485 (36.9%)
Watson 1442 (35.9%)
Hutcheon 741 (18.4%)
de Jong 241 (6.0%)

8:39pm
4783 votes in. 54 polls out of 220.
DiNovo is opening up a couple points on Watson.
DiNovo 1844 (38.6%)
Watson 1672 (35.0%)
Hutcheon 839 (17.5%)
de Jong 302 (6.3%)

8:41pm
5333 votes in. 60 polls out of 220 (27%).
A bit of bounce for Hutcheon.
DiNovo 2027 (38.0%)
Watson 1830 (34.3%)
Hutcheon 1005 (18.8%)
de Jong 334 (6.3%)

8:43pm
6583 votes in. 70 polls out of 220.
DiNovo (NDP) 2490 (37.8%)
Watson (LIB) 2291 (34.8%)
Hutcheon (PC) 1186 (18.0%)
de Jong (GRN) 423 (6.4%)
Gryzyma (FCP) 94 (1.4%)
McIntosh (LP) 53 (0.8%)
Ursomarzo (FP) 26 (0.4%)
Turmel (IND) 20 (0.3%)

8:46pm
8889 votes in. 80 polls out of 220 (36%)
DiNovo’s lead is holding with over 1/3 of vote tallied.
DiNovo (NDP) 3044 (38.7%)
Watson (LIB) 2692 (34.3%)
Hutcheon (PC) 1410 (17.9%)
de Jong (GRN) 485 (6.2%)
Gryzyma (FCP) 1144 (1.5%)
McIntosh (LP) 59 (0.8%)
Ursomarzo (FP) 31 (0.4%)
Turmel (IND) 24 (0.3%)

8:49pm
9890 votes in. 95 polls out of 220 (43%)
DiNovo tops 40%.
DiNovo (NDP) 3952 (40.0%)
Watson (LIB) 3344 (33.8%)
Hutcheon (PC) 1693 (17.1%)
de Jong (GRN) 622 (6.3%)
Gryzyma (FCP) 144 (1.5%)
McIntosh (LP) 70 (0.7%)
Ursomarzo (FP) 36 (0.4%)
Turmel (IND) 29 (0.3%)

8:52pm
It’s over. DemocraticSPACE declares DiNovo winner.
11828 votes in. 111 polls out of 220.
DiNovo (NDP) 4795 (40.5%)
Watson (LIB) 3918 (33.1%)
Hutcheon (PC) 2009 (17.0%)
de Jong (GRN) 788 (6.7%)
Gryzyma (FCP) 166 (1.4%)
McIntosh (LP) 77 (0.7%)
Ursomarzo (FP) 40 (0.4%)
Turmel (IND) 35 (0.3%)

9:02pm
17436 votes in. 149 polls out of 220.
DiNovo (NDP) 7062 (40.5%)
Watson (LIB) 5659 (32.5%)
Hutcheon (PC) 3163 (18.1%)
de Jong (GRN) 1124 (6.4%)
Gryzyma (FCP) 223 (1.3%)
McIntosh (LP) 100 (0.6%)
Ursomarzo (FP) 54 (0.3%)
Turmel (IND) 51 (0.3%)

9:15pm
21081 votes in. 182 polls out of 220.
DiNovo (NDP) 8607 (40.8%)
Watson (LIB) 6932 (32.9%)
Hutcheon (PC) 3708 (17.6%)
de Jong (GRN) 1314 (6.2%)
Gryzyma (FCP) 258 (1.2%)
McIntosh (LP) 126 (0.6%)
Ursomarzo (FP) 73 (0.3%)
Turmel (IND) 63 (0.3%)

9:23pm
21916 votes in. 187 polls out of 220.
DiNovo (NDP) 8928 (40.7%)
Watson (LIB) 7235 (33.0%)
Hutcheon (PC) 3851 (17.6%)
de Jong (GRN) 1363 (6.2%)
Gryzyma (FCP) 266 (1.2%)
McIntosh (LP) 130 (0.6%)
Ursomarzo (FP) 80 (0.4%)
Turmel (IND) 63 (0.3%)

9:29pm
24195 votes in. 201 polls out of 220.
DiNovo (NDP) 9915 (41.0%)
Watson (LIB) 7970 (32.9%)
Hutcheon (PC) 4208 (17.4%)
de Jong (GRN) 1519 (6.3%)
Gryzyma (FCP) 286 (1.2%)
McIntosh (LP) 138 (0.6%)
Ursomarzo (FP) 90 (0.4%)
Turmel (IND) 69 (0.3%)

9:37pm
25236 votes in. 212 polls out of 220.
DiNovo (NDP) 10366 (41.1%)
Watson (LIB) 8383 (33.2%)
Hutcheon (PC) 4295 (17.0%)
de Jong (GRN) 1559 (6.2%)
Gryzyma (FCP) 319 (1.3%)
McIntosh (LP) 145 (0.6%)
Ursomarzo (FP) 98 (0.4%)
Turmel (IND) 71 (0.3%)

9:41pm
25739 votes in. 216 polls out of 220.
DiNovo (NDP) 10607 (41.2%)
Watson (LIB) 8529 (33.1%)
Hutcheon (PC) 4352 (16.9%)
de Jong (GRN) 1596 (6.2%)
Gryzyma (FCP) 335 (1.3%)
McIntosh (LP) 148 (0.6%)
Ursomarzo (FP) 100 (0.4%)
Turmel (IND) 72 (0.3%)

9:49pm
25873 votes in. 217 polls out of 220.
DiNovo (NDP) 10661 (41.2%)
Watson (LIB) 8586 (33.2%)
Hutcheon (PC) 4365 (16.9%)
de Jong (GRN) 1604 (6.2%)
Gryzyma (FCP) 335 (1.3%)
McIntosh (LP) 148 (0.6%)
Ursomarzo (FP) 102 (0.4%)
Turmel (IND) 72 (0.3%)

9:56pm
26026 votes in. 218 polls out of 220.
DiNovo (NDP) 10716 (41.2%)
Watson (LIB) 8638 (33.2%)
Hutcheon (PC) 4385 (16.8%)
de Jong (GRN) 1623 (6.2%)
Gryzyma (FCP) 338 (1.3%)
McIntosh (LP) 150 (0.6%)
Ursomarzo (FP) 104 (0.4%)
Turmel (IND) 72 (0.3%)

10:02pm
26089 votes in. 219 polls out of 220.
Not sure why some numbers went down.
DiNovo (NDP) 10777 (41.3%)
Watson (LIB) 8637 (33.1%)
Hutcheon (PC) 4385 (16.8%)
de Jong (GRN) 1638 (6.3%)
Gryzyma (FCP) 328 (1.3%)
McIntosh (LP) 148 (0.6%)
Ursomarzo (FP) 104 (0.4%)
Turmel (IND) 72 (0.3%)

10:04pm
28457 votes in. 220 polls out of 220.
Unusually strong Conservative last poll (the advance poll).
DiNovo (NDP) 11675 (41.0%)
Watson (LIB) 9387 (33.0%)
Hutcheon (PC) 4921 (17.3%)
de Jong (GRN) 1758 (6.2%)
Gryzyma (FCP) 366 (1.3%)
McIntosh (LP) 162 (0.6%)
Ursomarzo (FP) 111 (0.4%)
Turmel (IND) 77 (0.3%)

Well, that’s all folks. DiNovo with a strong plurality of 8% and a devastating defeat for the Ontario Liberal Party. Thanks to all who joined us. Stay tuned for post by-election commentary tomorrow.

11 Comments

11 Comments/commentaires
Leave a comment/Enregistrer un commentaire

Gee, I just tuned in. I appreciate this, but I have to go soon.

Comment/commentaire by SUZANNE 09.14.06 @ 4:15 pm

Thank goodness the NDP has won. There should be no reward of victory for Sylvia Watson and the disgusting campaign she ran.

Comment/commentaire by Arif 09.14.06 @ 5:12 pm

Shows the Liberals right for taking advice from Warren Kinsella (or “asskickers” like him).

Comment/commentaire by Mark 09.14.06 @ 5:27 pm

McGuinty and the Ontario Liberal caucas should reread and heed their much tooted Anti-bullying policy. It was a total farce that in this riding of the former Minister of Education – G. Kennedy – where this by-election just took place, and where with much fanfare the premier and Kennedy brought us the much welcomed Anti-bullying policy to our public education system – that they went negative. I will remind the provincial Liberal Party, McGuinty and Watson, the Liberal candidate in this riding what bullying is. As such bullying is a conscious and willful act of aggression or manipulation by one or more people against another person or people. It may be premeditated or opportunistic. Bullying is an abuse of power by those who carry it out. Verbal bullies (such as personally smearing a candidate), speak badly of their targets and may, such as in this case, spread rumours seeking to hurt or humiliate. Bullies always reply on those who are marginally involved, the bystanders, where as a more involved bystander, Watson pretended that this isn’t a bullying tactic, where she not only does nothing to stop it but has actually, by her own words and deeds in this campaign here, actively involved in supporting it. As a public school trustee, I was outraged by the actions and deeds of Liberal bloggers, the Liberal candidate, and Liberal premier of this province. You blew your integrity. Read your policy and follow it.

Comment/commentaire by Jan Johnstone 09.14.06 @ 5:42 pm

Greg, thanks so much for your site. I appreciate your analysis and putting up the numbers as they come in.

Comment/commentaire by Jan Johnstone 09.14.06 @ 5:45 pm

I am going to say this on a couple of different blogs tonight. The game has changed and the Libs who are responsible for the back room tactics better figure that out very quickly or slip into irrelevancy. The game has changed.

Comment/commentaire by leftdog 09.14.06 @ 6:01 pm

Smearing campaign had nothing to do with DiNovo’s win. It was probably one of the worst voter turnout in Parkdale history. In the Provincial election 2003, there were 64, 974 registered voters in Parkdale High Park, according to your numbers at 10:04 pm only 28, 457 voted. That’s what the NDP was counting on, low voter turnout

Comment/commentaire by Don Quixote 09.14.06 @ 6:19 pm

By-elections often have low turnouts as there is not the party advertising to get people geared up. The NDP did not win beacuse of low turnout, it won because for some unknown reason the Liberals picked a candidate who had already pissed off half the riding. Why they could not get a higher profile candidate that people like escapes me. By picking Watson the riding association blew it. Poor Gerard, out today again at High Park Station, how will he ever wash Watson and her lack of integrity of his hands? sd

Comment/commentaire by scott D 09.14.06 @ 6:38 pm

The smear campaign is in part responsible for the low turn-out. Liberals did not turn out to the polls to vote for Watson, she gave them a reason to stay home.

Comment/commentaire by Arif 09.14.06 @ 7:02 pm

Smear campaigns MAY still work on the door step with canvassers but the online community is too vigilant, too critical and too sophisticated for a coordinated , daily slur and slam fest. The bloggers are gonna continue to be the worst critics that the old tacticians have ever faced.

Comment/commentaire by leftdog 09.14.06 @ 7:06 pm

You only have to look at this article to see why you can’t believe any election promises from the Ontario Liberal Party.

Comment/commentaire by Anonymous 09.20.06 @ 10:57 am

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