I see that Gerard Kennedy has a lot of Kennedys on his list. Bob Rae has a lot of Sorbaras on his list. Stephane Dion, where is your big family support!?

Stephane Dion represents me in my riding of St-Laurent. Stephane Dion has his greatest support, outside of his own riding and outside of Quebec…

It would be a huge mistake for anyone living west of Quebec to hope that M. Dion wins. It would be extremely unlikely that the Liberals could pick up some of the Bloc votes with Stephane Dion for PM… He will never be popular enough in Quebec to ever close the doors against sovereignty.

But even worse, if he were to win on a later ballot, it would be worse for all of us. It would mean, a next election with Harper having enough seats to really incite insurrection under the Canadian flag, without ever meaning to do this? I wonder!

Louise M.

What I find interesting is the very strong correlation between the number of donors and the number of delegates. Aside from MHF, the donor-to-delegate ratio only varies from 0.6 to 2.8, and most are right around 1.

Actually, if you exclude the bottom three, the range tightens up from 0.6 to 1.24.

I think the most interesting stat there is the donor-donation ratio. Rae in fact had by far the largest donor-donation average ($1323) with over twice the average ($656).

Without having done a donor by donor analysis, it seems to reflect my analysis of the first fundraising reports: Rae is relying mostly on big donations presumably from “elites”; Iggy is relying on widespread support from all regions and from elites and grassroots with by far the largest number of small donation amounts; Kennedy has surprised me greatly with his high donation average; and Dion is lower but with such low overall numbers I’m not sure how good or bad that reflects.

In this analysis, only Volpe and Rae have been overly reliant on fewer bigger donors. Only Volpe, Rae and Kennedy are above average in this regard.

If the new fundraising regime is implemented and candidates are limited to $1000, we need to change our fundraising approach. New school vs. Old School.

Louise M should get her facts straight before commenting. I wish we all had MPs like Dion.

Dear misguided Louise here’s some statistics for you my dear:
* amongst Liberal delegates, Dion is only second to Michael Ignatieff in Quebec.
* per the latest EKOS poll, Dion is the second pick of all candidates delegates – with the slight exception of Volpe.

When this period of reporting came out, these were the results that I remember Liberal pebbles did

http://liberalpebbles.blogspot.com/2006/11/who-has-richest-donors.html

Dear Westmount Liberal –

Louise was only talking about Dion’s popularity among the electorate, not among delegates. Louise’s point was to compare the ELECTORAL prospects (in Quebec) of each leadership candidate, and Dion’s likely effectiveness during another secession referendum.

Delegates’ opinions are interesting, but they don’t tell us much about the opinions of the country at large.

P.S., I am not a supporter of the Liberal Party, but of all the candidates, I personally prefer Dion.