There is much talk these days about the minimum wage in Ontario. The Liberal government is raising it from $7.75 to $8/hour, while the NDP has called for an increase to $10/hr (a 29% increase). Predictably, NDP and Liberal supporters are defending their respective parties’ approach.
Why is the minimum wage contentious? Because neo-classical economists tell us that under conditions of perfect competition and perfect information (which we’ve yet to see), the supply and demand of labour will reach an equilibrium point at a market wage rate. And most economically-informed policy-makers are educated by neo-classical economists (I have found heterodox thinking more useful). According to the neo-classicists, imposing a minimum wage thus leads to more supply than demand, and thus higher unemployment (which means more public dollars in social programs). The Liberals argue that a 29% increase is simply too much for the economy to absorb. Liberal supporters like Jason Cherniak argue that the minimum wage is meant only to protect the exploitation of workers, and social programs are the proper mechanism to help the working poor. The NDP supporters (HERE , HERE, and HERE) argue that workers need to be assured of earning a living wage (typically defined as enough for a family of four to live at above the poverty line).
I sympathize more with the NDP position here because from a public policy perspective, if it costs more to work than not (in that other social benefits are scaled back), then you create a disincentive to be self-sufficient (the so-called “welfare trap”). But, in my typical spatial way of thinking, I find a one-size-fits-all approach unsatisfactory. Instead, I would recommend a minimum-plus system. A single minimum wage across the province of Ontario could be established as the minimum necessary for a family of four to live above poverty (and since it’s a minimum, it should be measured where the cost of living is low). Then, individual cities would “top-up” the minimum wage according to the cost of living within its jurisdiction. The result would be a province-wide minimum living wage, but regionally adjusted depending on costs of living. So what should that minimum province-wide living wage be? I don’t know since Canada has no reliable measures of poverty. But if we compare with the U.S. — an average to low-cost town like Taylor, Michigan sets its minimum at the wage according to that which is necessary to live above the poverty line for a family of four, which is $9.67/hour (At 40 hrs/wk x 52 wks = $20,113.60/yr).
Many cities across the U.S. have enacted living wages, demonstrating that such a minimum-plus system could work. It’s somewhat limited now, most often requiring businesses that receive city contracts to pay their employees a minimum living wage. In some cases, all businesses in a given city are required to pay a living wage. So what has been the impact on the economy? Robert Pollin, economics professor at UMass Amherst studied the impact of L.A.’s living wage ordinance (passed in 1997) in The Living Wage: Building a Fair Economy and concluded that it increased costs by 1%.
Acorn keeps tabs of the various living wage programs as they come into effect. Here’s a partial list of some of the cities that have passed such measures in the last 3 years — as you can see, $10/hr is not out of line. Perhaps the increase to $10/hr could be phased in over a two-year period (which might satisfy those who think it the jump is too radical).
Note: HI = health insurance. All rates below are hourly. All are for those companies contracting with the city, except otherwise noted.
SONOMA, CA — $11.70 (w/HI), $13.70 (w/o) [$12.70 avg]
MANCHESTER, CT — $11.06 (w/HI), $14.00 (w/o) [$12.53 avg]
LANSING, MI — 1.25x poverty level [$12.50]
WESTCHESTER CO, NY — $11.50 (w/HI), $13.00 (w/o) [$12.25 avg]
SEBASTOPOL, CA — $11.20 (w/HI, est), $13.20 (w/o) [$12.20 avg]
SANTA MONICA, CA — $10.50 (w/HI), $13 (w/o) [$11.75 avg]
WASHINGTON, DC — $11.75
BELLINGHAM, WA — $10.81 (w/HI), $12.43 (w/o) [$11.62 avg]
INGHAM CO, MI — $10.00 (w/HI), $12.50 (w/o) [$11.25 avg]
PRINCE GEORGE’S CO, MD — $11.25
MIAMI, FL — $10.58 (w/HI), $11.83 (w/o) [$11.21 avg]
ARLINGTON, VA — $11.20
VENTURA, CA — $9.75 (w/HI), $12.50 (w/o) [$11.13 avg]
SYRACUSE, NY — $10.08 (w/HI), $11.91 (w/o) [$11.00 avg]
LOUISVILLE, KY — $11.00 (city employees)
TAYLOR, MI — $9.67 (w/HI), $12.09 (w/o) [$10.88 avg]
LAKEWOOD, OH — $10.28 (w/HI), $11.39 (w/o) [$10.84 avg]
BROWARD CO, FL — $10.15 (w/HI), $11.48 (w/o) [$10.82 avg]
NEW YORK, NY — $10 (w/HI), $11.60 (w/o) [$10.80 avg]
SACRAMENTO, CA — $9.67 (w/HI); $11.17 (w/o) [$10.42 avg]
PALM BEACH CO, FL — $10.39
LAWRENCE, KS — 1.3x poverty level [$10.38]
DURHAM CO, NC — 7.5% above poverty level [$10.34]
BROOKLINE, MA — $10.30
PORT HUENEME, CA — $9.00 (w/HI), $11.50 (w/o) [$10.25 avg]
ALBANY, NY — $10.25
DAYTON, OH — $9.30 (w/HI), $11.16 (w/o) [$10.23 avg]
ORLANDO, FL — $8.50 + min 20% HI [$10.20]
LINCOLN, NE — $9.62 (w/HI), $10.58 (w/o) [$10.10 avg]
NASSAU CO, NY — $9.50/hr (2007), $10.50 (2008), $12.50 (2010)
CINCINNATI, OH — $9.05 (w/HI), $10.60 (w/o) [$9.83 avg]
BLOOMINGTON, IN — $8.50 (w/HI), $10 (w/o) [$9.25 avg]
SAN FRANCISCO, CA — $8.82 (city-wide, all companies > 10 people)
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