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CATHOLIC | PROTESTANT | OTHER | NONE
RIDING
CATH.
PROTEST.
OTHER 1
NONE
PARTY 2
1
TRINITY-SPADINA
32.1
15.0
20.0
32.9
NDP
2
TORONTO-DANFORTH
20.7
20.1
27.9
31.3
NDP
3
SCARBOROUGH-AGINCOURT
22.4
17.9
31.3
28.4
LIB
4
TORONTO CENTRE
25.8
22.0
25.4
26.8
LIB
5
WILLOWDALE
21.4
21.7
30.4
26.5
PC
6
MARKHAM-UNIONVILLE
25.0
16.5
32.3
26.2
LIB
7
SCARBOROUGH-ROUGE RIVER
23.4
15.9
34.6
26.1
LIB
8
BEACHES-EAST YORK
25.5
26.8
22.6
25.1
NDP
9
OTTAWA CENTRE
35.4
25.5
14.5
24.6
LIB
10
PARKDALE-HIGH PARK
36.5
19.8
20.6
23.1
NDP
11
HAMILTON CENTRE
35.2
29.1
12.7
23.0
NDP
12
YORK-SIMCOE
27.3
45.6
4.4
22.7
PC
13
LONDON NORTH CENTRE
27.3
38.5
11.6
22.6
LIB
14
KENORA
24.1
49.2
5.2
21.5
NDP
15
BARRIE
27.7
45.8
5.1
21.4
PC
16
RICHMOND HILL
29.0
19.0
30.7
21.3
LIB
17
PARRY SOUND-MUSKOKA
17.2
58.6
3.0
21.2
PC
18
GUELPH
31.5
37.7
10.0
20.8
PC
19
HALIBURTON-KAWARTHA LAKES
16.6
60.0
3.0
20.4
PC
20
OSHAWA
30.6
44.1
5.0
20.3
PC
21
LONDON-FANSHAWE
33.0
38.0
9.1
19.9
NDP
22
DURHAM
24.1
52.3
3.7
19.9
PC
23
BRUCE-GREY-OWEN SOUND
13.3
63.4
3.4
19.9
PC
24
BRANT
26.4
48.6
5.2
19.8
LIB
25
ST. PAUL’S
29.3
25.0
26.1
19.6
LIB
26
OAK RIDGES-MARKHAM
31.8
32.8
16.0
19.4
PC
27
SIMCOE-GREY
24.8
52.3
3.7
19.2
PC
28
ANCASTER-DUNDAS-FLAMB.-WEST.
27.7
45.0
8.7
18.6
LIB
29
WELLINGTON-HALTON HILLS
26.3
50.9
4.2
18.6
PC
30
SIMCOE NORTH
30.1
48.3
3.0
18.6
PC
31
DUFFERIN-CALEDON
32.0
44.9
4.6
18.5
PC
32
LONDON WEST
26.9
45.1
9.6
18.4
LIB
33
NEWMARKET-AURORA
33.5
39.2
9.1
18.2
PC
34
DON VALLEY EAST
24.1
21.6
36.3
18.0
LIB
35
KINGSTON AND THE ISLANDS
33.3
43.6
5.2
17.9
LIB
36
SCARBOROUGH SOUTHWEST
29.2
26.4
26.6
17.8
LIB
37
KITCHENER-WATERLOO
29.6
41.0
11.9
17.5
PC
38
PETERBOROUGH
24.9
53.2
4.4
17.5
LIB
39
WHITBY-OSHAWA
33.6
41.9
7.1
17.4
PC
40
PRINCE EDWARD-HASTINGS
20.4
58.5
3.7
17.4
LIB
41
LANARK-FRONTENAC-L&A
22.4
57.5
2.7
17.4
PC
42
BURLINGTON
30.3
45.7
6.7
17.3
PC
43
HALDIMAND-NORFOLK
22.9
56.8
3.0
17.3
PC
44
THUNDER BAY-RAINY RIVER
37.1
41.2
4.5
17.2
LIB
45
OTTAWA WEST-NEPEAN
36.2
28.2
18.8
16.8
PC
46
ELGIN-MIDDLESEX-LONDON
21.4
57.3
4.7
16.6
LIB
47
DON VALLEY WEST
20.0
27.8
35.7
16.5
PC
48
THUNDER BAY-SUPERIOR NORTH
42.5
38.0
3.0
16.5
LIB
49
NORTHUMBERLAND-QUINTE WEST
22.4
58.5
2.7
16.4
LIB
—– ONTARIO OVERALL —–
34.7
34.9
14.1
16.3
50
HAMILTON EAST-STONEY CREEK
42.2
28.3
13.2
16.3
NDP
51
SARNIA-LAMBTON
29.6
50.5
3.9
16.0
LIB
52
OXFORD
20.0
60.7
3.3
16.0
PC
53
KITCHENER-CENTRE
32.7
39.2
12.2
15.9
PC
54
DAVENPORT
57.2
10.5
16.5
15.8
LIB
55
MISSISSAUGA SOUTH
39.1
31.0
14.3
15.6
PC
56
CAMBRIDGE
36.5
40.6
7.4
15.5
PC
57
ST. CATHARINES
33.8
43.6
7.1
15.5
LIB
58
SCARBOROUGH CENTRE
27.6
23.7
33.3
15.4
LIB
59
HALTON
37.9
38.3
8.4
15.4
PC
60
CARLETON-MISSISSIPPI MILLS
37.0
39.6
8.0
15.4
PC
61
ETOBICOKE-LAKESHORE
43.6
26.5
14.9
15.0
LIB
62
NIAGARA WEST-GLANBROOK
29.8
50.3
4.9
15.0
PC
63
HAMILTON MOUNTAIN
40.0
34.8
10.3
14.9
LIB
64
OAKVILLE
37.7
38.6
8.8
14.9
PC
65
AJAX-PICKERING
32.6
39.1
13.5
14.8
PC
66
NIAGARA FALLS
37.3
41.5
6.4
14.8
PC
67
PICKERING-SCARBOROUGH EAST
32.9
34.5
17.9
14.7
LIB
68
OTTAWA-VANIER
53.9
18.6
13.0
14.5
LIB
69
LEEDS-GRENVILLE
24.6
58.3
2.6
14.5
PC
70
NEPEAN-CARLETON
40.6
35.1
9.9
14.4
PC
71
NIPISSING-TIMISKAMING
49.8
33.6
2.6
14.0
LIB
72
SAULT STE. MARIE
43.1
40.4
2.7
13.8
LIB
73
LAMBTON-KENT-MIDDLESEX
28.8
54.9
2.6
13.7
LIB
74
WELLAND
45.4
37.1
3.9
13.6
NDP
75
EGLINTON-LAWRENCE
29.5
21.0
36.3
13.2
LIB
76
MISSISSAUGA-ERINDALE
42.3
22.9
21.7
13.1
LIB
77
WINDSOR WEST
46.3
23.7
17.1
12.9
LIB
78
OTTAWA SOUTH
41.3
24.9
21.1
12.7
LIB
79
SCARBOROUGH-GUILDWOOD
26.1
27.4
34.0
12.5
LIB
80
KITCHENER-CONESTOGA
27.8
51.0
8.7
12.5
PC
81
MISSISSAUGA-STREETSVILLE
42.5
25.1
20.2
12.2
LIB
82
THORNHILL
21.4
13.3
53.2
12.1
PC
83
YORK CENTRE
33.2
12.5
42.2
12.1
LIB
84
YORK WEST
40.4
14.3
33.2
12.1
LIB
85
PERTH-WELLINGTON
18.0
66.3
3.8
11.9
PC
86
HURON-BRUCE
21.9
63.7
2.5
11.9
PC
87
SUDBURY
59.7
25.8
2.9
11.6
LIB
88
BRAMPTON WEST
35.5
29.3
23.7
11.5
PC
89
CHATHAM-KENT-ESSEX
35.9
48.7
4.1
11.3
LIB
90
OTTAWA-ORLEANS
57.7
23.1
8.2
11.0
LIB
91
BRAMPTON-SPRINGDALE
35.9
26.8
26.5
10.8
LIB
92
MISSISSAUGA EAST-COOKSVILLE
45.2
16.9
27.2
10.7
LIB
93
WINDSOR-TECUMSEH
53.1
23.9
12.3
10.7
LIB
94
ETOBICOKE CENTRE
44.0
27.5
17.8
10.7
LIB
95
YORK SOUTH-WESTON
46.3
19.3
23.8
10.6
NDP
96
TIMMINS-JAMES BAY
61.0
25.9
2.5
10.6
NDP
97
ALGOMA-MANITOULIN-KAPUSKASING
58.5
28.6
2.7
10.2
LIB
98
MISSISSAUGA-BRAMPTON SOUTH
43.9
15.3
31.0
9.8
LIB
99
BRAMALEA-GORE-MALTON
33.0
24.8
32.5
9.7
LIB
100
ESSEX
53.6
32.3
4.5
9.6
LIB
101
RENFREW-NIPISSING-PEMBROKE
45.3
42.9
2.4
9.4
PC
102
ETOBICOKE NORTH
31.1
19.8
41.0
8.1
LIB
103
STORMONT-DUNDAS-S GLENGARRY
56.1
32.9
3.2
7.8
LIB
104
NICKEL BELT
73.1
17.8
1.7
7.4
NDP
105
GLENGARRY-PRESCOTT-RUSSELL
76.6
16.0
1.9
5.5
LIB
106
VAUGHAN
77.0
7.3
11.9
3.8
LIB
Notes
All figures are percentages.
The Census only provides info for federal ridings, so for the North, I used the 10 federal ridings instead of the 11 provincial ridings (apologies to Timiskaming-Cochrane, the one riding that doesn’t exist federally). So provincial numbers will be a little different.
1 Other includes Christian Orthodox, all other Christian, Muslim, Jewish, Buddhist, Hindu, Sikh, Eastern religions and all other religions.
2 This is the party that is currently leading in our 18 SEPT PROJECTIONS.
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