the tories seem to be slowly creeping back up. smells like a minority, but smells like a liberal one.

I’ll update the map in a few hours.

Yes Nick, I agree. None of the parties has gained any momentum, and are spinning their wheels. Unless someone hits a home run or scores a knockout in the debate (Turner vs Mulroney was the only time I can actually remember a campaign turning on a debate; anyone remember any others?) I suspect a lot more of the same

Mulroney knocked out Turner in the 1984 debate, and Turner knocked him out in the 1988 debate. in BC the inclusion of the Liberals in the debate lead to thier forming the official opposition (polls prior to that suggested that they might get 1 or 2 seats, they ended up with 17) in 2004 there was a near miss. I remember when Martin shot at Layton “did your handlers tell you to talk so much”. Layton was stunned, and could only manage a “here!”. Had he said “did your’s tell you to be so evasive” or something similar, that could have knocked Martin back quite a bit. Then again, debates are sometimes meaningless. PEI provincial elections dont have many debates, but all of them since the mid 90’s have been won by wide margins by the NDP, however the NDP rarly tops 5% there.

btw. here’s the updated map (if it does not load, try again shortly, the image host is being a bit troublesome with the upload)

I can’t see a minority government happening. The NDP have been creeping back to 2003 Election levels. I suspect at this rate they will finish with 8 seats. Unless something changes quickly, I suspect that the liberals will fall on the right side of the 54 seats needed.