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Conservatives in Weak Minority Territory
Monday May 05th 2008, 9:31 am
Filed under: Canadian Politics, - 2008 Canada Election

Here are the latest DemocraticSPACE aggregated polling numbers and corresponding seat projections (in parentheses). Note that in most cases current projections do not adjust for individual candidates, as not all candidates have been nominated yet. Projections are a snap-shot in time, based on current polling. Note also that the reliability of projections increases as the frequency of polls increases, so current projections are not as reliable as they are during the campaign period (when there are many polls).

National (9 Apr - 1 May, +/- 1.2%)
Conservative β€” 34.5% (120)
Liberal β€” 31.1% (115)
NDP β€” 15.7% (26)
Green β€” 9.1% (0)
Bloc β€” 8.5% (45)
Other β€” 1.0% (2)

Ontario (9 Apr - 1 May, +/- 2.1%)
Liberal β€” 40.9% (61)
Conservative β€” 32.5% (36)
NDP β€” 14.5% (9)
Green β€” 11.2% (0)
Other β€” 0.9% (0)

QuΓ©bec (9 Apr - 1 May, +/- 2.4%)
Bloc β€” 34.2% (45)
Conservative β€” 23.4% (11)
Liberal β€” 22.7% (17)
NDP β€” 12.6% (1)
Green β€” 6.1% (0)
Other β€” 1.0% (1)

British Columbia (7 Apr - 1 May, +/- 3.3%)
Conservative β€” 34.5% (18)
Liberal β€” 27.8% (10)
NDP β€” 21.4% (8)
Green β€” 15.0% (0)
Other β€” 1.2% (0)

Alberta (7 Apr - 1 May, +/- 3.9%)
Conservative β€” 58.6% (28)
Liberal β€” 17.5% (0)
Green β€” 11.3% (0)
NDP β€” 11.0% (0)
Other β€” 1.6% (0)

Prairies (7 Apr - 1 May, +/- 4.2%)
Conservative β€” 40.8% (19)
NDP β€” 25.2% (4)
Liberal β€” 21.7% (5)
Green β€” 10.6% (0)
Other β€” 1.7% (0)

Atlantic Canada (7 Apr - 1 May, +/- 3.7%)
Liberal β€” 40.0% (20)
Conservative β€” 32.0% (8)
NDP β€” 20.9% (3)
Green β€” 6.6% (0)
Other β€” 0.6% (1)


1 Comment/commentaire
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One thought I had about elections in general is that strategic voting encourages a participatory and educated voting population. Elections Canada should encourage this practise as long as nothing but votes are transferred.

Comment/commentaire by Phillip Huggan 05.12.08 @ 11:44 am



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