According to the latest DemocraticSPACE projections, the Conservatives are edging closer to majority government territory (which requires 155 seats). Current projections put the Conservatives at 143 seats on 37.2% support, the Liberals at 94 seats on 28.1% support, the NDP at 29 seats on 17.4% support, the Bloc at 41 seats on 8.0% support (31.6% in Québec), and the Greens with no seats and 8.3% support. These projections are based on regional polling data for all major Canadian pollsters between 24 Aug and 6 Sep. Regional breakdowns are below.
| Last Updated: 8 Sept | |
| CURRENT PROJECTION |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
|
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
|
| CONSERVATIVE | LIBERAL | NDP | BLOC | GREEN | OTHERS |
| 37.2% | 28.1% | 17.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 1.0% |
| 143 | 94 | 29 | 41 | 0 | 2 |
Ontario
The Conservatives are currently projecting at 49 seats on 37.7% support, the Liberals 46 seats on 35.7%, the NDP 11 seats on 15.6% and the Greens no seats on 10.1%.
Québec
The Bloc Québécois is currently projecting at 41 seats on 32.3% support, the Conservatives at 14 seats on 26.0% support, the Liberals 18 seats on 21.6%, the NDP 1 seat on 13.2%, and the Greens no seats on 6.0%.
British Columbia
The Conservatives are currently projecting at 22 seats on 39.9% support, the NDP 8 seats on 25.6%, the Liberals 5 seats on 21.7% and the Greens no seats on 11.5%.
Alberta
The Conservatives are currently projected to win all 28 seats on 61.1% support, the Liberals at 17.6%, and the NDP and Greens at 9.9%.
Prairies
The Conservatives are currently projected to win 20 seats on 43.7% support, the NDP 4 seats on 27.2%, the Liberals 4 seats on 21.6% and the Greens no seats on 5.7%.
Atlantic Canada
The Liberals are currently projected to win 19 seats on 36.0% support, the Conservatives 9 seats on 31.1%, the NDP 3 seats on 26.4% and the Greens no seats on 5.9%.
If your comment doesn't appear, it is because our automatic anti-spam software is blocking it. If so, just send us an email and we will post it for you.










