1:30pm
Well, the 2nd ballot when pretty much as expected. The question now is whether Kennedy stays in or not. I doubt he will, since Dion has opened up a solid lead on him, there is no place for him to grow. I can guarantee you that he will go over to Dion, and should be able to deliver most of his delegates, save perhaps some of his Western delegates, who might go to Ignatieff. So where does that leave us? It will be a close call, as to whether Dion or Ignatieff is on top — they will be virtually tied, with a slight edge to Dion, assuming Kennedy can deliver.

DION — 35-36%
IGNATIEFF — 35-36%
RAE — 26-27%