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– REVISED –

DemocraticSPACE is projecting a Liberal Majority Government. Dalton McGuinty’s Liberals are projected to win 65 seats on support of 42.5%, John Tory’s Progressive Conservatives with 29 seats on support of 32.2% and Howard Hampton’s NDP with 13 seats on support of 17.3%. Frank de Jong’s Greens are not projected to win seats, on support of 6.3%. All others are projected at 1.7% support.

The above projections are averages, but given the polling data has a margin of error of roughly +/- 1.5% (so riding projections have a 3% range), there are a number of ridings that are simply too close to call (where the ranges of more than one party overlap). As such, we are providing a range of seats and support as follows.

	PARTY	SEATS	SUPPORT
	LIBERAL	56-72	41.0-44.0%
	PC	25-38	31.1-33.3%
	NDP	9-15	16.7-17.9%
	GREEN	0	5.9-6.7%
	OTHERS	0	1.6-1.8%

Download RIDING-BY-RIDING PROJECTIONS¹

Here is what a map of the average projection above looks like:

SOUTHERN ONTARIO

Follow the links below for detailed maps and riding-by-riding projections.

NORTHERN ONTARIO
EASTERN ONTARIO
CENTRAL ONTARIO
SOUTHWESTERN ONTARIO
HAMILTON-NIAGARA
PEEL-HALTON
YORK-DURHAM
TORONTO

Embed the latest DemocraticSPACE projections into your website:
[regular version] or [sidebar version]

SEAT PROJECTIONS
Click HERE to see seat projections based on aggregate polls.

BLOG UPDATES
Click HERE for blog posts related for the Ontario 2007 election.

STRATEGIC VOTING GUIDE
Click HERE to see party-by-party strategic voting guide.

Note
¹ Please note that since Elections Ontario’s “transposition of votes” from 2003 to Ontario’s 107 new ridings do not include numbers for the Green Party, we cannot make riding-by-riding projections for the Greens — however, you can assume the Greens are 1-to-2% less than the figure given under the “other” column in the projection tables.