Mcguinty’s probably taking this one easily.

My current guess is that McGuinty has a little less than a 10% lead. It is certainly a quiet campaign with very few signs (in my home poll, we had 30 in the 2006 federal and probably 6-7 now). The autism issue was featured in a recent demonstration at McGuinty’s constituency office and the closure this summer of Camp Leo (the only camp for autistic kids in the Ottawa area) highlights the Premier’s neglect as a local issue.

I met the NDP candidate at Billings Bridge Plaza, saw a couple of Liberals dropping literature and know the PC candidate has been around so the local campaigns are working hard.

Please note this comment is in a series of comments by me. I’m doing a prediction for every riding. For this riding I’m predicting the Liberals will win.