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DATE 1						MOE 5	S 8
FINAL		42.5	32.2	17.3	8.0	+/- 1.5	4142
4 OCT 07		42.8	33.1	16.9	7.2	+/- 1.7	3305
30 SEP 07		42.0	33.4	17.0	7.7	+/- 1.8	2861
27 SEP 07		41.5	34.0	16.0	8.4	+/- 1.7	3362
24 SEP 07		40.9	34.0	15.8	9.3	+/- 1.7	3494
23 SEP 07		40.5	35.0	15.9	8.6	+/- 1.6	3569
18 SEP 07		40.3	35.5	15.6	8.6	+/- 1.6	3674
16 SEP 07		40.4	35.1	16.0	8.5	+/- 1.6	3674
14 SEP 07		40.4	35.2	16.3	8.1	+/- 1.7	3325
10 SEP 07		40.8	34.7	16.2	8.4	+/- 1.7	3284
9 SEP 07		40.8	35.1	16.3	7.8	+/- 1.6	3583
8 SEP 07		40.6	35.5	17.3	6.6	+/- 1.6	3612
1 SEP 07 3		40.4	36.2	17.9	5.5	+/- 1.6	3582
26 AUG 07 3		39.8	36.4	18.1	5.7	+/- 1.6	3623
16 AUG 07 3		39.1	36.8	18.2	5.9	+/- 1.5	4123
14 AUG 07 3		38.4	36.5	18.6	6.5	+/- 1.6	3823
30 JUN 07 3		37.0	37.1	20.2	5.7	+/- 1.6	3844
28 JUN 07 3		36.6	35.9	19.6	7.9	+/- 1.6	3844
10 JUN 07 3		36.6	35.5	19.8	8.1	+/- 1.7	3544
15 MAY 07 3		36.0	34.8	20.0	9.2	+/- 1.8	2993
3 APR 07 3		36.8	35.3	20.3	7.6	+/- 1.8	2993
15 FEB 07 3		38.7	34.5	18.2	8.6	+/- 1.7	3450
12 OCT 06 3		39.7	35.1	20.7	4.5	+/- 1.7	3172
23 JUL 06 3		38.1	36.1	19.5	6.3	+/- 1.6	3858
23 JUN 06 3		37.0	36.3	20.2	6.4	+/- 1.6	3662
2 JUN 06 3		37.9	36.1	19.1	6.9	+/- 1.6	3584

DATE 1	POLLSTER					MOE 5	S 8
7 OCT 07 6	HARRIS-DECIMA	42	31	17	9	+/- 3.7	709
7 OCT 07	STRATEGIC COUNSEL	42	27	19	11	+/- 3.4	850
6 OCT 07	SES	42	31	17	9	+/- 4.4	500
5 OCT 07 6	ANGUS REID	40	34	19	7	+/- 3.2	939
4 OCT 07	IPSOS-REID	43	32	18	6	+/- 3.5	800
1 OCT 07	ENVIRONICS	46	31	20	3	+/- 4.4	504
1 OCT 07	HARRIS-DECIMA	43	32	14	10	+/- 3.7	701
30 SEP 07	SES	44	34	15	7	+/- 4.4	500
27 SEP 07	IPSOS-REID	43	33	17	6	+/- 3.5	800
25 SEP 07	ENVIRONICS	39	34	20	7	+/- 4.4	504
25 SEP 07 6	ANGUS REID	40	35	16	8	+/- 3.5	800
24 SEP 07	HARRIS-DECIMA	41	32	15	10	+/- 3.7	706
23 SEP 07	SES	41	33	18	8	+/- 4.8	433
18 SEP 07	IPSOS-REID	40	37	16	6	+/- 3.5	801
18 SEP 07	HARRIS-DECIMA	41	32	14	12	+/- 3.7	704
16 SEP 07	STRATEGIC COUNSEL	40	34	16	10	+/- 3.4	850
14 SEP 07	IPSOS-REID	40	37	16	7	+/- 3.5	801
10 SEP 07	ENVIRONICS	39	35	17	9	+/- 4.4	501
9 SEP 07	HARRIS-DECIMA	41	33	13	11	+/- 3.7	721
8 SEP 07	IPSOS-REID	41	36	17	6	+/- 3.5	801
8 SEP 07 6	ANGUS REID	39	37	13	10	+/- 3.6	725
26 AUG 07	SES	40	34	19	8	+/- 4.9	501
23 AUG 07	IPSOS-REID	42	35	16	6	+/- 3.6	760
16 AUG 07	IPSOS-REID	40	37	17	6	+/- 3.5	800
14 AUG 07	STRATEGIC COUNSEL	40	35	18	8	+/- 3.6	750
30 JUN 07	ENVIRONICS	40	39	20	1	+/- 4.1	771
28 JUN 07	IPSOS-REID	39	36	17	7	+/- 3.5	801
10 JUN 07	POLLARA	37	37	19	7	+/- 3.1	1001
15 MAY 07	SES	35	35	19	11	+/- 4.9	500
3 APR 07	ENVIRONICS	33	38	26	3	+/- 4.1	771
15 FEB 07	IPSOS-REID	38	33	17	11	+/- 4.1	771
23 JAN 07	SES	41	33	17	10	+/- 4.4	501
17 JAN 07 6	ANGUS REID	33	34	19	14	+/- 3.3	901
30 DEC 06	ENVIRONICS	39	37	21	3	+/- 3.5	777
26 NOV 06	SES	42	35	16	7	+/- 4.4	500
12 OCT 06	EKOS	42.4	36.2	19.6	1.8	+/- 4.1	584
3 OCT 06	SES	40	33	20	7	+/- 4.4	500
23 JUL 06	LEGER	39	35	20	7	+/- 3.1	1003
23 JUN 06	ENVIRONICS	35	36	27	2	+/- 4.1	578
2 JUN 06	SES	43	35	17	5	+/- 4.5	507
9 JUN 06	IPSOS-REID	40	37	17	6	+/- 3.5	770
29 MAY 06	LEGER	35	37	18	10	+/- 3.1	1000
9 APR 06	LEGER	39	35	18	10	+/- 3.1	1000
31 MAR 06	ENVIRONICS	34	39	24	3	+/- 4.1	584
15 MAR 06	LEGER	34	34	20	12	+/- 3.1	1000
8 MAR 06	SES	41	34	20	5	+/- 4.5	500
23 FEB 06	IPSOS-REID	37	37	18	8	+/- 3.5	700
3 FEB 06	SES	41	37	18	4	+/- 4.5	500
16 NOV 05	SES	38	35	19	8	+/- 4.4	525
13 NOV 05	LEGER	40	30	20	10	+/- 3.1	1000
17 OCT 05	SES	38	37	20	5	+/- 4.5	501
16 OCT 05	ENVIRONICS	42	35	21	2	+/- 4.1	580
6 OCT 05	IPSOS-REID	37	38	17	8	+/- 3.5	771
26 SEP 05	LEGER	43	31	15	11	+/- 3.1	1000
17 JUL 05	IPSOS-REID	38	38	18	6	+/- 3.6	758
11 JUL 05	ENVIRONICS	36	38	22	4	+/- 4.1	576
26 MAY 05	SES	41	35	21	4	+/- 4.5	500
6 APR 05	ENVIRONICS	35	41	21	3	+/- 3.5	768
13 MAR 05	LEGER	44	33	19	4	+/- 3.1	1000
17 JAN 05	IPSOS-REID	37	35	18	10	+/- 3.6	758
27 SEP 04	IPSOS-REID	37	33	21	9	+/- 3.6	758
12 SEP 04	SES	38	40	19	4	+/- 4.5	500
5 SEP 04	IPSOS-REID	32	35	24	9	+/- 3.6	759
26 JUL 04	ENVIRONICS	35	37	23	5	+/- 3.5	768
21 JAN 04	SES	49	29	19	3	+/- 4.5	500
15 JAN 04	ENVIRONICS	50	30	16	4	+/- 3.1	1000
9 DEC 03	IPSOS-REID	51	27	16	6	+/- 3.1	1001
2 OCT 03	38TH ELECTION	46.4	34.6	14.7	4.3	-	-

NOTES
¹ Date is the last day that the poll was taken. Often polls are embargoed for several weeks until their release date.
² The number under the Green logo is the Green and “Other” support. Historically, between 1% and 2% support small parties and independents. Thus, it is reasonable to assume that Green support is about 1% to 2% less than reported support.
³ These updates are taken over a long period of time. The accuracy of the aggregated samples goes down as the time period goes up and vice versa – readers should use caution when interpreting these updates. When polls are spaced close together, such as during the campaign, the aggregated method is more reliable.
⁴ Margin of Error. MOE is related to sample size, 0.98 divided by the square root of the sample size at 95% confidence (19 times out of 20). For example, a sample of 1000 people has a MOE of +/- 3.1% and a sample of 2000 people has a MOE of +/- 2.2%. For rolling averages, the samples are assumed to be independent, thus sample sizes are aggregated to produce an overall MOE. In practice, some polling firms use lists with repeat calls; in these case, it is more precise to reduct these repeat calls from the overall sample size, thus the actual margin of error might be slightly higher. Example: 5 surveys of 1000 people would normally produce a MOE of +/- 1.4%, if samples were independent. If 25% of calls were repeat calls, however, a more accurate MOE would be based on 4000, not 5000, people, producing a MOE of +/- 1.5%.
⁵ Sample size.
⁶ Internet poll. Readers should use with caution; while the sample is generally random, the poll of online survey participants is not, thus DemocraticSPACE does not believe the results are as reliable as with a simple random sample. As such, these online polls are not included in our weighted average.