WANT TO ADVERTISE HERE? INFO | CONTACT US

HOW IT WORKS
The unique DemocraticSPACE regional projection model makes estimates of support based on aggregate poll data, making it the most detailed projection available. While the model has averaged a 94% accuracy in allocating votes, it is important to recognize that many ridings are too close for projection models to accurately project. For a detailed explanation of how the model works, please click HERE (146kb PDF).

DATE 1
FINAL		65	29	13	0
4 OCT 07		64	31	12	0
30 SEP 07		63	32	12	0
27 SEP 07		60	35	12	0
24 SEP 07		59	36	12	0
23 SEP 07		56	39	12	0
18 SEP 07		55	40	12	0
16 SEP 07		56	39	12	0
14 SEP 07		56	39	12	0
10 SEP 07		58	37	12	0
9 SEP 07		57	38	12	0
8 SEP 07		55	40	12	0
1 SEP 07 2		54	42	11	0
26 AUG 07 2		54	42	11	0
16 AUG 07 2		51	45	11	0
14 AUG 07 2		50	46	11	0
30 JUN 07 2		44	52	11	0
28 JUN 07 2		45	50	12	0
10 JUN 07 2		45	50	12	0
15 MAY 07 2		45	50	12	0
3 APR 07 2		46	49	12	0
15 FEB 07 2		53	42	12	0
12 OCT 06 2		54	42	11	0
23 JUL 06 2		51	46	10	0
23 JUN 06 2		44	53	10	0
2 JUN 06 2		50	47	10	0
2 OCT 03	2003 ELECTION	72	24	7	0

NOTES
¹ Date is the last day that the poll was taken. Often polls are embargoed for several weeks until their release date.
² These updates are “straight-line” projections, not accounting for regional variation or candidates. Readers should use caution when interpreting these results.