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PREDICTED WINNER Diane Marleau

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2004 RESULTS

Candidate Party Vote Count Vote Share
Diane Marleau 18914 44.19%
Gerry McIntaggart 12781 29.86%
Stephen L. Butcher 9008 21.05%
Luke Norton 1999 4.67%
Dave Starbuck 100 0.23%

2006 CANDIDATES
Kevin Serviss
Joey Methe
Diane Marleau (Incumbent)
Gerry McIntaggart
Sam Hammond
Dave Starbuck
Stephen Butcher
David J. Popescu

2006 VOTE PROJECTION
SUDBURY


49 Comments/commentaires
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Although Sudbury has been a long-time Liberal stronghold, the incumbent, Diane Marleau has not been campaigning with full zeal. Advertising is low-key or non-existant, and the Liberal’s corrupt record is weighing heavily on voters. There seems to be little energy coming from the Liberal campaign here. The Conservatives will certainly chip away at the Liberal’s 44% in this riding, but have a long way to go from their 21% in the last campaign. They have nominated a candidate from the social right, a former police officer turned fundamentalist christian preacher, who despite a large campaign budget is sure to isolate any centrist voters with modern social beliefs. The NDP, who ran to a second place finish in 2004, have an excellent chance of taking this riding.

Comment/commentaire by Richard 01.13.06 @ 8:40 am

With the Liberal campaign in free fall, this is again one of those seats that may fall to the NDP by default.

Comment/commentaire by Mark R. 01.13.06 @ 9:49 am

Those Conservatives out there, vote for the NDP. Just to stop another useless Liberal.

Comment/commentaire by Chris 01.15.06 @ 10:29 am

The stats here do not seem to reflect the momentum we are seeing in this riding. The Liberal incumbant is definitely on a steep slide and likely will be replaced. The NDP appear to be maintaining their position, but the Conservative campaign appears to be landing the bulk of the Liberal fallout votes. This is going to be a tight race. January 24th Sudbury could very well be wearing Conservative blue. Orange won’t match our shoes!

Comment/commentaire by Greg 01.16.06 @ 1:57 am

I think the emotional part of the campaign is going to give way to an actual consideration of the underlying values of the 2 potential governing parties. As this happens, the vulnerability of Harper and his neocons will be exposed as voters begin to THINK about what’s at stake when they cast a protest vote against the Liberals. The PC’s really have no where to go but down as this happens, and there’s enough time left to swing a sufficient number of “teach ‘em a lesson” votes back to the Liberals. I don’t think the Liberals will have much trouble holding this riding at all. I’ll have to go back a look to see what this site is basing its projection numbers on. But if there is a significant number of other liberal ridings which are also deemed to be at risk based on the same data, the projections listed on this site will look silly in two weeks. Liberals will win here, and in neighbouring Nickel Belt — and even if the Reformed-Conservatives garner a minority mandate nationally they will collapse quickly once they remove their sheeps clothing!

Comment/commentaire by trunorth 01.16.06 @ 6:11 am

Responding to “Trunorth” & “Greg”…
Lets look at the numbers and leave the partisan comments aside: The Liberals have fallen 10-15% (depending on the pollster) provincially since early December. Obviously, that drop in support is going to split two ways: some Conservative votes (polling +4% to 8% provincially), and some NDP votes (polling +2% to 6% provincially). I can’t see any objective reason why the same trends, dampened or otherwise, won’t bear out in Sudbury. Certainly nothing locally is negating the trends.

Assuming overall turnout remains relatively constant, the Conservatives would have to poll 6 new votes for each new vote which goes Orange. This seems unlikely as %75 of the riding voted center-left in ‘04, and, as mentioned, the Conservatives have chosen a candidate with extreme-right social views. So it seems we may need a new outfit to go with those NDP shoes.

Comment/commentaire by Richard 01.16.06 @ 7:18 am

Trunorth, Like to see you back on this forum after the election,I think you will be the one looking silly. You are a typical liberal and even after your party suffers a huge defeat you will still think that you have won. What part of corruption,lying,stealing and cheating do you not understand.

Comment/commentaire by joe public 01.16.06 @ 8:49 am

It would be a fortunate day for Sudbury when the incumbent Liberal is finally out of politics. I have on several separate occasions tried to contact her office for assistance or comments on serious local issues. Never was a response given. The only time she is in the news is when she appears at some local elitist function. Sudbury is a city that is imploding in on itself, and the Liberals are getting fat, and letting it happen. It would be great to have a MP that cares about the decaying social programs, and to have an MP that will fight to get funding that is so desperately needed.

Comment/commentaire by Shane Taylor 01.16.06 @ 10:18 am

To say the Liberals are not advertising and have essentially no campaign only means that anyone who thinks that is paying absolutely no attention to the local race. The Liberals have an aggressive advertising campaign focussing on Diane Marleau’s record, which is quite extensive. The ads are everywhere. The Liberals also have more signs in the ground than any other camp.

Comment/commentaire by glen 01.17.06 @ 6:12 pm

What it boils down to is voting for the person who you feel will do something positive for Sudbury. McIntaggart has a strong record for doing just that. Serving as Councillor for 12 years, he has done a lot for Sudbury. He has a true passion for helping the people here. Isn’t that what we want??? Someone who is going to actually go to the mat for us??? Or are we wanting more of what we have been getting…nothing. For the undecided, think about the Sudbury YOU WANT…and who is BEST going to get it for YOU, that’s the bottom line

Comment/commentaire by D Ryder 01.17.06 @ 8:36 pm

I have voted for all 3 main parties during my lifetime depending on the issues.This time I will be voting NDP because a vote for the Liberal Party would be condoning the scandals and the stealing from the taxpayers.They must be taught a lesson.So,in my riding the NDP have the best chance of defeating the incumbent.I wish others would adopt the same philosophy and try to punish corruption instead of rewardind it.

Comment/commentaire by Angry 01.17.06 @ 9:01 am

It is a shame to slam a fellow woman, but Diane Marleau was booted out of a Chretien cabinet, how bad do you have to be to have that happen to you. Time for Sudbury to show its real roots and vote NDP to take care of our interests and not shore up the Liberal government’s inadequacies.

Comment/commentaire by Jacquie 01.17.06 @ 12:00 pm

My money and vote is with Kevin Serviss. He has an established record of serving people and is real gifted at bringing varied interests together.
with the Conservative party in position of power, it makes even further sense to have a member who can deliver for the local prosperity. Send the Liberals a clear message that we will no longer accept their scandalous behaviour
While the NDP may have some interesting policy,they certainly are in no position to govern

Comment/commentaire by Johnathan 01.17.06 @ 1:41 pm

In response to Glen:

Ms. Marleau may have more signs out than anyone else, but what you failed to notice is that most are on public property. All it shows is that she can’t find many people to openly support her by displaying her signs on their private property. Putting signs on public property is also a violation of local by-laws.

The Kevin Serviss campaign seems to be infected with the same “the-rules-don’t-apply-to-us-itis”. They’ve also managed to appear popular by filling the public spaces with their signs.

Comment/commentaire by Rob 01.17.06 @ 2:47 pm

Back and forth and back again. It is quite disturbing to see the rhetoric spewing forth about this particular poll. I see more posts for the Dippers and Tories than I do for the Grits. To me and my own unscientific way of analyzing what is the most peculiar election in the last 30 years in our country–they (Dippers/Tories) have enough excess ‘foot soldiers’ to be able to monitor and input on these sites. I got my start and desire for politics in the eighties from my grade eight teacher and the former NDP member from Nickel Belt–John Rodriguez. Back then and even as an impressionable youth, I sensed a more commited concern about the issues of the day from the electorate. There was passion and lively debate and most of all there was respect–respect for the fact that men and women ran for elected office with the noblest intentions in mind–respect for the fact that not everybody shared ideology but shared country. Today it is all about slick campaigns and image–fluff not stuff. Candidates bash the hell out of each other personally and that is crass and debases democracy. I shudder when I think of right wing christian groups pushing their own and not the collective community agenda with their vehicle the conservative party (or republican north). I am disappointed that the pre-cambrian union movement continues to think that the only good manager is one who is grievable and they continue to hold the NDP hostage (NDP so much squandered opportunity) with outdated and misguided principles (not to mention the union dues used to finance their campaigns). Nickel Belt and Sudbury and indeed Northern Ontario have been well served by incumbent Liberals–they have stood up to intrusive American foreign policy and have worked to help diversify and create employment opps. for their youth–most times without much support from local municipal councils who are outdated and full of ‘consevative’ minds and 60’s mentality. Think twice about our future

Comment/commentaire by Michael 01.17.06 @ 4:44 pm

comment to Rob
Kevin Serviss has broadly based support and his signage is strategically situated on property with permission of the landowners.
Perhaps the NDP is disappointed that the majority of their signs are in front of the Steel hall

Comment/commentaire by Johnathan 01.17.06 @ 4:58 pm

NDP supporters! Don’t roll over to Paul Martin’s begging for your votes – he does not give two bits about your wants and needs. Put the NDP back into Sudbury where it belongs.

Comment/commentaire by Devan 01.17.06 @ 5:17 pm

IN my immediate family, we are 10 in the sudbury riding who are going to vote this 23rd of January. Out of the 10 people 8 is voting conservative. 1 is undecided. 1 is voting Liberal.Most of us voted Liberal the last election. If this is any indication. I predict a conservative win in Sudbury riding

Comment/commentaire by ron lalonde 01.17.06 @ 8:45 pm

Richard…your political analysis is about as accurate as your wardrobe. It should have been “we will find new shoes to go with our outfit.” You might want to hold off on the shopping spree until January 24th. If you really want to be trendy and hip…blue is going to be “all the rage.”

Comment/commentaire by Greg 01.18.06 @ 4:55 am

What is the first word that comes into a non Sudbury area person’s mind when they hear the word ‘Sudbury’? Skip the jokes for now. I think it would be ‘mining’ or ‘nickel’.
What has Diane Marleau done to secure the Mining Research Centre which would build on Sudbury’s strengths in the mining industry? Absolutely nothing. Marleau goes along with her Master’s decree that there are more deserving cities for a Mining Research Centre. Cities like Toronto or Montreal.
Yes indeed. For Dianne Marleau, if half the city is doing crappy call centre jobs getting screamed at all day and the other half is on welfare that is just fine.
So who would be the best alternative? Kevin Serviss is one of the strongest conservative (PC,CA,Reform) candidates to have run in Sudbury in a long time and probably reflects the sentiments of many Sudburians on social issues. The NDP candidate is clearly in a stronger position to defeat the Liberals.
I would say too close too call but it would really send the Liberals a message they could not ignore if Marleau was booted out.

Comment/commentaire by david gates 01.18.06 @ 5:05 am

Kevin Serviss reflects the sentiments of many Sudburians on social issues? What rock have you been living under??? All the Sudburians I’ve met are full of compassion, generosity, and hope: certainly not the social values the Conservatives play on.

Comment/commentaire by Rob 01.18.06 @ 5:28 pm

Kevin Serviss has spent all his adult years working for people. As a founder of the Elgin Mission and Samaritan centre he walks the walk and exudes the qualities of compassion, generosity,hope,leadership and many more.
Make an informed choice and vote for someone who will represent the riding with integrity in a conservative cabinet

Comment/commentaire by Johnathan 01.18.06 @ 7:48 pm

Keep Sudbury out of the wave of Conservative insanity taking over the nation. Do not let Sudbury be a part of rolling back minority rights, dismantling our country province by province, and cutting funding to essential social services. If you want to punish the Liberals for their marathon broken provinces and outright theft, vote for the NDP.

Comment/commentaire by SaultDoc 01.18.06 @ 8:51 pm

in response to Rob. You are absolutely wrong about the signs on public property issue. The city by-law department contacted all the campaigns and made sure none were on public property. The Marleau campaign never had any on public property to begin with. You want proof call the by-law department for yourself 671-2489. As usual there is a lot of smoke being blown by the opposition parties. Both the NDP and Conservatives are confusing provincial, municipal and federal government issues. If these guys can’t even figure out who’s in charge of what how the heck can they expect to be good enough to survive, let alone get anything done in Ottawa. Diane Marleau’s record speaks for itself. While your on the phone with City Hall ask them how much money they are getting for infrastructure projects here in the city. Wait, I’ll save you the time. They will be getting over $25 million for top infrastructure priorities. Not too shabby if you asked me. Thant’s just one example. Layton and the NDP will be absolutely useless if Harper and the Conservatives form the government. Stop and think about it for a second. One wants to moove the country backwards and the other won’t have the numbers to do a darn think about it.

Comment/commentaire by glen 01.18.06 @ 8:52 pm

Glen…
“the other won’t have the numbers to do a darn think about it”?? You seem to be spending a lot of time on this site without reading any of the projections. I assert that the marginalized party in the next house will be the Liberal party. As a “recovering” Liberal campaigner, from a Liberal family, from what is now a hopelessly conservative riding in Eastern Ontario, I feel sympathetically ashamed. The party has to rebuild in every way. You must admit that, at least nationally, the campaign has been a debacle. Locally, I believe a large group of despondent Liberal voters will simply stay home on Monday. My question is, will Paul Martin resign on the 23rd, or will he wait a month or two?

Comment/commentaire by Richard 01.19.06 @ 3:54 am

Glen:

Marleau and Serviss signs are all over public property. When the by-law officer called the Marleau office about it, she was told that they (the Liberals) had always put signs on public property and that the by-law had never been enforced before. The Serviss campaign claimed no knowledge of the by-law.

Sudbury never got its full allotment of infrastructure money. The city was promised $7 million for the South End rock tunnel, along with the other projects, but Marleau reneged after both the city and the province (the Harris government at that!) had each committed their share. So Sudbury residents who couldn’t get insurance because their basements kept flooding were left in the lurch, and now the Sudbury taxpayers are on the hook for the fed’s share, plus all the additional costs that have accrued.

Thanks Ms. Marleau. Thanks alot.

The Liberals have spent the last twelve years pretending to be progressive, all the while moving this country backwards. The Conservatives will continue the trend. (At least they’re more honest about it.) What’s the difference? This website says it all: http://www.unitetheright.ca

When the NDP holds the balance of power – and has much more credibility than the disgraced Liberal party – an NDP MP will be much more valuable to Sudbury than a backbench Liberal MP sitting in the opposition benches.

Comment/commentaire by Rob 01.19.06 @ 1:51 pm

Hey Rob…you’ve got to be kidding us. There is definitely a spin off the Liberal party but it is not going NDP…nationally and locally it is going Conservative. People are looking for change…they won’t get that from the NDP. Your party is hopelessly lost in a utopian world. You are fiscally irresposible. I agree with your “for the people” ideology…the difference is that I would like to see it for the long haul. Your ridiculous spending and more government principles will bury our country in debt and send us into recession. There is only one responsible answer to Liberal coruption…Conservative…in Sudbury that means Kevin Serviss. We’ll chat on the 24th, give us a call in Ottawa.

Comment/commentaire by Greg 01.19.06 @ 3:01 pm

In a progressive society, soup kitchens and food banks are a temporary measure, ideally never needed. In a Liberal-Conservative society, they are permanent. They are, in a Liberal-Conservative world, the treatment for a disease that they do not believe should be cured.

It was under a Conservative government that Canada’s debt went through the roof, and that during an economic boom. It is a very right-wing Conservative government in the States that is sending their debt into orbit, just as did the previous right-wing American regime in the 80s.

And before you say it: the Rae government has nothing to apologize for in taking on debt during the world’s worst economic crisis since the Great Depression. The Harris government has much to answer for in not paying off the debt during a global economic boom, prefering instead to squander our future on tax cuts to the wealthy and profitable corporations.

I’m sure Gerry will be happy to call you from his office in Ottawa on the 24th.

Comment/commentaire by Rob 01.19.06 @ 5:47 pm

Re: Rob’s comment. Trying to eliminate social problems is like trying to eliminate sin. Maybe next the NDP Party will soon announce they will eliminate sin creating the perfect utopian society. Good luck but your promises are all pie in the sky. And the reality check that comes later will be extremely severe.

Comment/commentaire by Eric 01.20.06 @ 2:00 pm

And there you have the Conservative view: “life sucks, and then you die”.

Comment/commentaire by Rob 01.20.06 @ 3:57 pm

I think Diane will take this again. Let’s look at the riding’s history. Since it’s creation, it’s voted Liberal all but once (a 1960s by-election). Sudbury even stayed Liberal in 1984 when the Liberal fortunes were worse than today. Let’s also consider some other things. Even if people are unhappy with Diane, something I haven’t seen, the other candidates are not especially inspiring. McIntaggart was an incubent who was defeated in the municipal election. It’s virtually impossible to get rid of anyone on Sudbury’s city council (unfortunately). Either McIntaggart didn’t run a good capaign, or his ward didn’t like what he did. I know people who are pro or anti Marleau, but I have yet to meet anyone in my circle of friends who has anything good to say about our city council. As for Serviss, not only are his social views likely to turn-off moderates, the former Conservative candidate is running as a PC this time. He’ll siphon off some some votes. Finally, although posters here mention Serviss’s work at the Samaritan Centre, I’d like to point out that I wrote a letter to the Sudbury Star several years ago suggesting the whole concept. At the time, Serviss wanted to expand the Mission into another storefront by the underpass at Elgin Street. There was a huge outcry by downtown businesses as it would further stretch out social services down a dangerous stretch of road known for its violence, prostitution and vagrancy. I suggested that if all the religious charities on the stretch pooled their money they could better serve needy people in the community and speculated religious differences was preventing this. I’m glad these groups took my advice, but the fact that the Mission people had to figure this out from a letter to the editor from Joe Public certainly doesn’t inspire confidence in Serviss’ leadership abilities. Diane seems to be the best choice among an uninspiring bunch. If the NDP or Tories had stronger candidates she might be in trouble, but among my friends of voting age in the riding, Marleau is drawing majority support. It’ll be interesting to see the Sudbury Star poll tomorrow. If it looks to be a three-way race, watch for Marleau to walk away with it as nervous Dippers contemplate sending an embarrassing Conservative to Ottawa. If she appears to have a strong lead, some people may be tempted to vote another way if her win looks assured. My bet for Jan. 23 in Sudbury? Approximately = Libs 42, NDP 33, Tories 22, Others 3

Comment/commentaire by Ottawa Centre Voter 01.20.06 @ 4:03 pm

In response to Ottawa Center Voter…I notice that you take credit for the idea of Sudbury’s Samaritan center…however you do not provide your name. You also did nothing to see it happen…and neither did Diane Marleau. Kevin Serviss did, because unlike yourself and Ms. Marleau, he does more than talk. Kevin Serviss established the Elgin Street Mission, the Pregnancy Care Center, and managed to mediate the amalgamation of four charities with different charters…to operate under one roof…a feat in itself! Your projections for Sudbury in the coming election will be revealed as more Liberal “blather” soon enough. Diane has proven herself to be “tired” and “visionless” during this campaign. The NDP does not reflect mainstream Sudbury thinking with regard to fiscal resposibility and economic development. On January 23rd, Sudburians will be sending the Liberal party a message…that message is KEVIN SERVISS, CONSERVATIVE/CONSERVATEUR!

Comment/commentaire by Greg 01.21.06 @ 7:58 am

Check the Sudbury Star back in 2002 or 2003 in August or so. There’s my letter, and there are stories about Serviss wanting to move into the old Friendly restaurant on Elgin. Now that area has seen an expansion of an arts store and gallery, and the old Mission has become a pub. Considering this is part of the commercial district, using store fronts for businesses makes good sense. As for your charge that I did nothing about it, guilty as charged. I’m a university student who was home for the summer. Exactly what would propose I do? Quit school and move home without any kind of job to push for my idea? I was 21 or 22 at the time and had no connections. I highly doubt people involved with these services would throw their arms open and ask me to lead them, nor would I expect to. Clearly the people involved with the existing services would have to make that decision. So fine, I give credit to Serviss and others for taking a good idea and making it happen. I merely point out that he was moving in a much more destructive direction before the idea was presented. My point is that Serviss, in this case, was not an ideas man. Not that it really matters. The Sudbury Star poll shows Diane with a huge lead over the NDP and Serviss in third place. Even with the small poll size and 5-6 point margin of error, it’s unlikely Serviss came leap from third to first. He may be a decent pastor, but he’s certainly no MP.

Comment/commentaire by Ottawa Centre Voter 01.21.06 @ 8:26 am

A poll of like 3 people with a margin of error of 30% 1 times out of 2 was published in the local Liberal House Organ in Sudbury, the Sudbury Star on Sat Jan 21.
When I first heard of Dilda Markeau’s supposed massive lead, I was anticipating the usual boiler plate statement that ‘the poll obtained 1032 reposnces and is accurate within 4%, 19 times out of 20.’
But no. This poll is a fraud and a joke. Who did they ask? Workers in her campaign office?

Comment/commentaire by david gates 01.21.06 @ 8:48 am

Ottawa Center Voter…I notice that you still do not provide your name…as a Liberal panderist I think that is wise. I anticipated that you were young…as in idealistic and unexperienced. Your faith in polls led me to this conclusion. You are about to receive an education in “perception vs. reality.” As to whether or not Serviss is an idea man…your proclaimed responsibility for the Samaritan Center was only spinoff musing from the existing charities which were established by Kevin Serviss. These charities were serving the less fortunate citizens of Sudbury when you were still in diapers. You sound alot like a political science student…ie. yet another “cookie-cutter” Liberal without the capcity for original thought. I reiterate…the only poll that matters is the one on January 23rd, results around 2300. See you at the wire…I’ll save you a seat.

Comment/commentaire by Greg 01.21.06 @ 1:41 pm

latest polling info for Sudbury and NickelBelt from The Sudbury Star

http://tinyurl.com/8svw8

Comment/commentaire by doug 01.21.06 @ 2:17 pm

Re: comment by Rob: The NDP view is party now then die and make the next generation’s life suck.

Comment/commentaire by Eric 01.21.06 @ 2:39 pm

Gee Greg, you’re wrong on the political science front and also wrong to call me a cookie-cutter Liberal. I’m not terribly impressed by the current party leadership, nor am I terribly inspired by any local candidate in Sudbury. I’m merely asserting that if Serviss wins it will be a major, major upset. I am not posting my name here because I don’t particularly want anyone harrassing me. If you really want to know it, pull out some microfilm at the Sudbury Public Library and scan the paper for yourself. I’m not the one running for public office. You’re right, the only poll that counts is on election day, but it would be foolish not to put some stock in past results or current polls. Some polls are faulty, but series of polls show general trends. The Tories are up and the Liberals are down, but they are more or less tied in Ontario. In a bedrock Liberal riding like Sudbury, the NDP would have to completely implode and the Tories national campaign would have to be far more popular. Just look back to 84. Mulroney had 50 per cent and Turner led the Liberals to their worst result ever. Yet Sudbury was one of the 40 seats the Liberals kept. Even while Nickelbelt went NDP, Sudbury stayed Grit. Could this be a huge upset? Yes, but I wouldn’t hold my breath. Marleau is the incumbent and while you may not think she has accomplished anything, she hasn’t done anything to really rub enough people the wrong way that she would be defeated. Maybe if she wasn’t the incubent, the NDP or Tories would have a better shot, but if she didn’t go down last time, during the backlash from the provincial government’s unpopular budget, she ain’t sinking this time. I gave credit to Serviss in a previous post for his work for these organizations, but I reiterate that if the Samaritan Centre was in the works before my letter, Serviss was not being honest with the media at the time. He and the people involved took a good idea and went with it, but I find it funny you accuse me of not having an original thought in my head when this one was likely lifted. I will think of you, Greg, on Monday. For even if the Conservatives win nationally, you’re man won’t be going with them to Ottawa unless he’s hired as an administrative assistant by a successful candidate. Strikes me as odd that he’d want to leave his charity work behind anyway. Odds are he’d be a lot better off there. Bye now.

Comment/commentaire by Ottawa Centre Voter 01.21.06 @ 4:14 pm

Response to Ottawa Center voter
Talking about the ‘84 election where Mulroney swept, the Sudbury Liberal candidate was Doug Frith. Frith was a star candidate (and one who Trudeau ignored for whatever reason). Marleau couldn’t hold a candle to him. Frith would have held no matter where he was just about.

Comment/commentaire by Eric 01.21.06 @ 5:04 pm

Well folks…one day left…good luck to all.

It is going to be much more interesting than the recent Star poll would indicate.

And to my young friend “Ottawa Center Voter”…I respect your position and your perspective…as I said it is youthful and idealistic…but time will take care of that! When you have gone through the process of seeking a career, getting married, raising a family, saving for the future, and one day find yourself working for the Conservative Party…think of me…”been there, done that, got the T-shirt!”

Comment/commentaire by Greg 01.22.06 @ 6:37 am

I’d like to echo the “good luck” to all the candidates and campaigners. It’s all in the hands of the people now.

I am very interested to see if these projections bear out. It will mean that despite an unpopular party, a national campaign full of blunders, and only a token local effort (where were the ads?), there is still a base of Liberal supporters who refuse to consider alternatives. It will also mean that you can’t just throw money at the Sudbury riding with a huge advertising budget and expect to win. If the conservatives only gain 1000 votes, there will some serious head-scratching when the bill comes in for all those billboards and tv ads. The NDP will also be disappointed. They have run a great national campaign, and a clean, solid, high-visibility campaign here in Sudbury. They definitely expect more than only 700 new votes.

That said, I’ll go back to my first comment on this blog. Both the conservatives and NDP will take more votes than projected here, the liberal vote will split to a greater extent, and the NDP will take the riding by a decisive %35.

Enjoy voting and see you back here again in a few months for the next round ;)

Comment/commentaire by Richard 01.23.06 @ 4:07 am

I would have to agree with this site’s prediction of a Liberal win. Sudburians expect nothing and are never disappointed. Sudbury is one of the only cities in Canada to make blind people pay transit fares unlike most places with an ounce of humanity. How many blind people are there in Sudbury? 6? “They must pay!”, the Mayor screams as he bangs his fist on the podium. No do not demand the completion of Highwy 69. No do not demand the Mining Research Centre. Let Sudbury export its youth because there is nothing to do there except crappy call centre jobs or sitting around on welfare. You do not even put up a bus shelter near the Greyhound Bus Terminal and your train station is near a dump. You present such a good first impression. Sudbury. Yeah. Whatever. You and Marleau deserve each other.

Comment/commentaire by david gates 01.23.06 @ 5:05 am

To Greg:

As someone “with a career, married, raising a family and saving for the future”, and a devout Christian, I will never be able to bring myself to vote for the Reform/Alliance Conservatives. The Progressive Conservatives under Bernard Lord might have had a chance. As it is, the only party whose platform comes close to my own values is the Green Party, with the NDP a far second. As for local candidates, we have slim pickings – only Marleau has a realistic concept of what the federal issues are – yet she has done next to nothing in the past decade to earn re-election.

Still undecided, but absolutely not voting Conservative.

Comment/commentaire by Dave 01.23.06 @ 8:29 am

To David & Others,

You work hard to get ahead…long hours away from your family to provide for their needs and their future. Ask yourself these questions;

What has Diane Marleau (Canada’s most disgruntled Liberal) done to assist my family in Sudbury?

How do McIntaggart and the NDP intend to address my needs?

The Liberals and the NDP continue to talk rhetoric…philosphical platform from bygone years that their party’s clearly no longer represent.

The Liberal’s have proven in so many ways that they do not deserve the trust or respect of Canadian voters…neither does their abysmal record…since Diane Marleau took office in Sudbury; we have lost 1000 jobs per year for the 17 LONG years of her reign; we have gone from being the community with the highest paid work force in Canada – to the lowest paid work force in Ontario; we have the highest unemployment rate in Ontario…I agree with Ms. Marleau…that is quite a record!!!

How do McIntaggart and the NDP intend to address my needs?

The NDP platform is all about HUGE government spending…which requires more government to administer the delivery of the money…which means we all receive the brunt of higher taxes and less money gets to the people who need it most…the NDP are lost in hopelessly utopian ideology that is NOT sustainable.

IT IS TIME FOR CHANGE!

Your choice this time around should be for a party that truly represents the people – ALL people…a party that is committed to integrity and accountability…a party that is dedicated to to LESS government…a party that is committed to tax releif for ALL citizens…a party that is committed to regional development and job creation…a party that is NEW and FRESH and INNOVATIVE…

The CONSERVATIVE PARTY OF CANADA…In Sudbury This means…

Kevin Serviss, Conservative/Conservateur

Comment/commentaire by Greg 01.23.06 @ 11:48 am

Well, It is january 23rd and we are going to have to send Kevin Serviss to Ottawa. Yup it will be a very blue election. Kevin will get in cause he is a getter-doner meaning he will get things done. He doesn’t just talk the talk he walks walk. KEVIN!!!!!!!

Comment/commentaire by Carley 01.23.06 @ 5:50 pm

Looks like Marleau is back, and that Sudbury Star poll looks fairly accurate. It was close enough, but a Liberal hold. Congrats Diane and to all the other candidates.

Comment/commentaire by Ottawa Centre Voter 01.23.06 @ 8:12 pm

Well, Sudbury went Liberal. To bad I personaly know Kevin Serviss and I know he would have been the best choice. Oh well, we would have missed him to much if he went to Ottawa.I don’t know how Marleau gained anybody’s trust with what she has done….NOTHING. Well Kevins a winner to me.

Comment/commentaire by Carley 01.24.06 @ 10:14 am

The Liberal’s have proven in so many ways that they do not deserve the trust or respect of Canadian voters…neither does their abysmal record…since Diane Marleau took office in Sudbury; we have lost 1000 jobs per year for the 17 LONG years of her reign; we have gone from being the community with the highest paid work force in Canada – to the lowest paid work force in Ontario; we have the highest unemployment rate in Ontario…I agree with Ms. Marleau…that is quite a record!!!

Comment/commentaire by nike shoes 10.04.07 @ 10:07 pm

David Battaino is the unseen White Horse.

Comment/commentaire by jack 01.28.08 @ 8:54 pm



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