ATLANTIC SEAT PROJECTIONS

The following are the seat projections based on a 5-poll rolling average. The projection model requires the use of regional data, thus only comprehensive polls are used in the projections. The source data is the regular national polling conducted by the following firms: Strategic Counsel, SES, Ipsos-Reid, Pollara, EKOS, Environics, Decima, and Leger. Averaging 5 polls is necessary to ensure an acceptable margin of error in the regional data.

To learn about how the model works, please see “HOW IT WORKS” (146kb PDF)

GRAPH
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Note:

TABLE
Click on date below for riding-by-riding projections (125kb PDF)

	LPC	CPC	NDP
JAN 22, 2006	18	11	3
JAN 21, 2006	18	11	3
JAN 19, 2006	18	11	3
JAN 18, 2006	20	9	3
JAN 17, 2006	20	9	3
JAN 16, 2006	17	12	3
JAN 15, 2006	17	12	3
JAN 14, 2006	21	8	3
JAN 13, 2006	21	8	3
JAN 12, 2006	19	10	3
JAN 11, 2006	18	11	3
JAN 10, 2006	21	8	3
JAN 9, 2006	21	8	3
JAN 7, 2006	20	9	3
JAN 6, 2006	21	8	3
JAN 2, 2006	21	8	3
DEC 31, 2005	21	8	3
DEC 26, 2005	21	8	3
DEC 21, 2005	22	7	3
DEC 16, 2005	22	7	3
DEC 10, 2005	22	7	3
DEC 9, 2005	24	5	3
DEC 8, 2005	24	5	3
DEC 3, 2005	24	5	3
NOV 29, 2005	22	7	3
NOV 28, 2005	22	7	3
NOV 26, 2005	22	7	3
NOV 18, 2005	22	7	3
NOV 10, 2005	22	7	3
OCT 31, 2005	24	6	2
OCT 20, 2005	25	5	2
OCT 14, 2005	22	7	3
OCT 3, 2005	22	7	3
SEP 20, 2005	21	8	3
JUN 28, 2004	22	7	3