
BRITISH COLUMBIA SEAT PROJECTIONS
| SEAT PROJECTIONS | RIDING PREDICTIONS |
The following are the seat projections based on a 5-poll rolling average. The projection model requires the use of regional data, thus only comprehensive polls are used in the projections. The source data is the regular national polling conducted by the following firms: Strategic Counsel, SES, Ipsos-Reid, Pollara, EKOS, Environics, Decima, and Leger. Averaging 5 polls is necessary to ensure an acceptable margin of error in the regional data.
To learn about how the model works, please see “HOW IT WORKS” (146kb PDF)
GRAPH
Download as PDF (46kb)

Note:

TABLE
Click on date below for riding-by-riding projections (130kb PDF)
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|
|
|
|
|
CPC
|
LPC
|
NDP
|
|
|
19
|
9
|
8
|
|
|
19
|
9
|
8
|
|
|
19
|
11
|
6
|
|
|
19
|
11
|
6
|
|
|
19
|
11
|
6
|
|
|
19
|
11
|
6
|
|
|
20
|
11
|
5
|
|
|
20
|
11
|
5
|
|
|
20
|
11
|
5
|
|
|
20
|
11
|
5
|
|
|
21
|
11
|
4
|
|
|
19
|
11
|
6
|
|
|
19
|
11
|
6
|
|
|
20
|
11
|
5
|
|
|
19
|
11
|
6
|
|
|
15
|
14
|
7
|
|
|
15
|
14
|
7
|
|
|
13
|
16
|
7
|
|
|
15
|
14
|
7
|
|
|
15
|
14
|
7
|
|
|
15
|
13
|
8
|
|
|
15
|
13
|
8
|
|
|
16
|
12
|
8
|
|
|
16
|
12
|
8
|
|
|
13
|
13
|
10
|
|
|
13
|
13
|
10
|
|
|
NOV 26, 2005
|
11
|
14
|
11
|
|
NOV 18, 2005
|
13
|
11
|
12
|
|
NOV 10, 2005
|
14
|
11
|
11
|
|
OCT 31, 2005
|
11
|
16
|
9
|
|
OCT 20, 2005
|
11
|
16
|
9
|
|
OCT 14, 2005
|
9
|
19
|
8
|
|
OCT 3, 2005
|
9
|
20
|
7
|
|
SEP 20, 2005
|
9
|
20
|
7
|
|
JUN 28, 2004
|
22
|
8
|
5
|

Liberal
Conservative
NDP
Green
Bloc Quebecois
Christian Heritage
Action
Marijuana
Marxist-Leninist
Libertarian
Progressive Canadian
Communist
Animal Alliance
First Peoples
Independent