NATIONAL SEAT PROJECTIONS

The following are the seat projections based on a 5-poll rolling average. The projection model requires the use of regional data, thus only comprehensive polls are used in the projections. The source data is the regular national polling conducted by the following firms: Strategic Counsel, SES, Ipsos-Reid, Pollara, EKOS, Environics, Decima, and Leger. Averaging 5 polls is necessary to ensure an acceptable margin of error in the regional data.

To learn about how the model works, please see “HOW IT WORKS” (146kb PDF)

GRAPH
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Note:

TABLE
Click on date below for riding-by-riding projections (800kb PDF)

	LPC	CPC	NDP	GRN	BQ	OTH
JAN 22, 2006	94	128	29	0	56	1
JAN 21, 2006	97	125	29	0	56	1
JAN 19, 2006	94	128	28	0	57	1
JAN 18, 2006	93	126	29	0	59	1
JAN 17, 2006	85	131	33	0	58	1
JAN 16, 2006	76	140	35	0	57	0
JAN 15, 2006	82	135	32	0	59	0
JAN 14, 2006	84	133	31	0	60	0
JAN 13, 2006	89	133	28	0	57	0
JAN 12, 2006	86	134	26	0	62	0
JAN 11, 2006	87	138	22	0	61	0
JAN 10, 2006	95	127	25	0	61	0
JAN 9, 2006	98	122	27	0	61	0
JAN 7, 2006	97	120	32	0	59	0
JAN 6, 2006	101	120	27	0	60	0
JAN 2, 2006	113	109	24	0	62	0
DEC 31, 2005	118	105	23	0	62	0
DEC 26, 2005	120	102	23	0	63	0
DEC 21, 2005	120	102	23	0	63	0
DEC 16, 2005	120	102	23	0	63	0
DEC 10, 2005	130	92	24	0	62	0
DEC 9, 2005	130	91	25	0	62	0
DEC 8, 2005	117	101	27	0	63	0
DEC 3, 2005	112	102	29	0	65	0
NOV 29, 2005	113	100	32	0	63	0
NOV 28, 2005	114	98	33	0	63	0
NOV 26, 2005	120	91	35	0	62	0
NOV 18, 2005	116	93	37	0	62	0
NOV 10, 2005	120	94	32	0	62	0
OCT 31, 2005	136	82	28	0	62	0
OCT 20, 2005	142	76	28	0	62	0
OCT 14, 2005	141	76	27	0	64	0
OCT 3, 2005	143	75	25	0	65	0
SEP 20, 2005	141	77	25	0	65	0
JUN 28, 2004	135	99	19	0	54	0