PRAIRIES POLLS


PRAIRIES SEAT PROJECTIONS

SEAT PROJECTIONS RIDING PREDICTIONS

The following are the seat projections based on a 5-poll rolling average. The projection model requires the use of regional data, thus only comprehensive polls are used in the projections. The source data is the regular national polling conducted by the following firms: Strategic Counsel, SES, Ipsos-Reid, Pollara, EKOS, Environics, Decima, and Leger. Averaging 5 polls is necessary to ensure an acceptable margin of error in the regional data.

To learn about how the model works, please see “HOW IT WORKS” (146kb PDF)

GRAPH
Download as PDF (46kb)

Note:

TABLE
Click on date below for riding-by-riding projections (120kb PDF)

CPC
LPC
NDP
20
4
4
20
4
4
20
4
4
20
4
4
20
4
4
20
4
4
20
5
3
20
5
3
20
5
3
20
5
3
20
5
3
19
6
3
19
6
3
19
6
3
19
6
3
18
7
3
18
7
3
20
5
3
19
6
3
19
6
3
17
6
5
16
7
5
17
7
4
20
5
3
19
5
4
17
6
5
NOV 26, 2005
17
6
5
NOV 18, 2005
17
6
5
NOV 10, 2005
17
7
4
OCT 31, 2005
15
9
4
OCT 20, 2005
15
8
5
OCT 14, 2005
14
8
6
OCT 3, 2005
14
8
6
SEP 20, 2005
14
8
6
JUN 28, 2004
20
4
4