QUEBEC SEAT PROJECTIONS

The following are the seat projections based on a 5-poll rolling average. The projection model requires the use of regional data, thus only comprehensive polls are used in the projections. The source data is the regular national polling conducted by the following firms: Strategic Counsel, SES, Ipsos-Reid, Pollara, EKOS, Environics, Decima, and Leger. Averaging 5 polls is necessary to ensure an acceptable margin of error in the regional data.

To learn about how the model works, please see “HOW IT WORKS” (146kb PDF)

GRAPH
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Note:

TABLE
Click on date below for riding-by-riding projections (220kb PDF)

	BQ	LPC	CPC	OTH
JAN 22, 2006	56	12	6	1
JAN 21, 2006	56	12	6	1
JAN 19, 2006	57	11	6	1
JAN 18, 2006	59	10	5	1
JAN 17, 2006	58	11	5	1
JAN 16, 2006	57	11	7	0
JAN 15, 2006	59	11	5	0
JAN 14, 2006	60	11	4	0
JAN 13, 2006	57	11	7	0
JAN 12, 2006	61	11	3	0
JAN 11, 2006	61	11	3	0
JAN 10, 2006	61	11	3	0
JAN 9, 2006	61	11	3	0
JAN 7, 2006	59	13	3	0
JAN 6, 2006	60	12	3	0
JAN 2, 2006	62	13	0	0
DEC 31, 2005	62	13	0	0
DEC 26, 2005	63	12	0	0
DEC 21, 2005	63	12	0	0
DEC 16, 2005	63	12	0	0
DEC 10, 2005	62	13	0	0
DEC 9, 2005	62	13	0	0
DEC 8, 2005	63	12	0	0
DEC 3, 2005	64	11	0	0
NOV 29, 2005	63	12	0	0
NOV 28, 2005	63	12	0	0
NOV 26, 2005	62	13	0	0
NOV 18, 2005	62	13	0	0
NOV 10, 2005	62	13	0	0
OCT 31, 2005	62	13	0	0
OCT 20, 2005	62	13	0	0
OCT 14, 2005	64	11	0	0
OCT 3, 2005	65	10	0	0
SEP 20, 2005	65	10	0	0
JUN 28, 2004	54	21	0	0