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Florida

2006 CANDIDATES
Jim Davis
Charlie Crist
Max Linn
Karl Behm
Richard Paul Dembinsky
John Wayne Smith
Piotr Blass
Papa-Roqui Maneiro
Omari Musa
C.C. Reed
Robert Wirengard
Richard Hansen

ROLLING 5-POLL AVERAGE 4
DATE 1 MOE 2 S 3
NOV 4 52.2 45.7 2.1 +/- 1.5 4311
OCT 2 55.5 42.3 2.2 +/- 1.5 4200

INDIVIDUAL POLLS 4
DATE 1 POLLSTER MOE 2 S 3
NOV 4 SURVEY USA 50.0 48.0 2.0 +/- 3.8 682
NOV 2 ZOGBY 54.5 43.2 2.3 +/- 3.5 804
NOV 1 MASON DIXON 52.6 45.3 2.1 +/- 3.9 625
OCT 31 STRATEGIC VISION 52.1 45.8 2.1 +/- 2.8 1200
OCT 27 ZOGBY/WSJ 51.5 46.4 2.1 +/- 3.1 1000
OCT 02 RASMUSSEN 57.4 40.4 2.1 +/- 4.4 500
SEP 25 ZOGBY/WSJ 56.5 41.3 2.3 +/- 3.1 1000
SEP 24 STRATEGIC VISION 54.3 43.5 2.2 +/- 2.8 1200
SEP 19 RASMUSSEN 51.7 46.0 2.3 +/- 4.4 500
SEP 05 ZOGBY/WSJ 56.9 40.9 2.2 +/- 3.1 1000

NOTES
1 Date is the last day that the poll was taken. Often polls are embargoed for several days until their release date.
2 Margin of Error. MOE is related to sample size, 0.98 divided by the square root of the sample size at 95% confidence (19 times out of 20). For example, a sample of 1000 people has a MOE of +/- 3.1% and a sample of 2000 people has a MOE of +/- 2.2%. For rolling averages, the samples are assumed to be independent, thus sample sizes are aggregated to produce an overall MOE. In practice, some polling firms use lists with repeat calls; in these case, it is more precise to reduct these repeat calls from the overall sample size, thus the actual margin of error might be slightly higher. Example: 5 surveys of 1000 people would normally produce a MOE of +/- 1.4%, if samples were independent. If 25% of calls were repeat calls, however, a more accurate MOE would be based on 4000, not 5000, people, producing a MOE of +/- 1.5%.
3 Sample size.
4 Poll numbers exclude undecided voters (and in some cases include estimated for Others), thus are pro-rated to 100%. For example, if the raw poll data shows the Republican candidate with 47%, the Democratic candidate with 41%, Others with 2% and there were 10% undecided, the results excluding undecideds are: Republican 47/90 = 52.2, Democrat 41/90 = 45.6, Others 2/90 = 2.2.

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