2006 CANDIDATES
Eliot Spitzer
John Faso
John Clifton

DATE 1					MOE 2	S 3
NOV 1		25.8	73.1	1.1	+/- 1.6	3531
SEP 9		27.5	71.2	1.3	+/- 1.5	4123

DATE 1	POLLSTER				MOE 2	S 3
NOV 1	SIENA	25.5	73.4	1.1	+/- 4.4	500
NOV 1	WNBC/MARIST POLL	25.5	73.4	1.1	+/- 4.4	503
OCT 27	ZOGBY/WSJ	29.7	69.2	1.1	+/- 3.1	1000
OCT 19	WNBC/MARIST POLL	23.7	75.3	1.1	+/- 4.5	475
OCT 16	QUINNIPIAC	23.4	75.5	1.1	+/- 3.0	1053
SEP 9	GREEN PAPERS	26.9	72.5	0.6	+/- 4.4	500
SEP 5	ZOGBY/WSJ	29.1	68.7	2.3	+/- 3.1	1000
SEP 1	GREEN PAPERS	25.5	73.5	1.1	+/- 4.4	500
AUG 21	ZOGBY/WSJ	29.6	69.3	1.1	+/- 3.1	1000
AUG 18	WNBC/MARIST POLL	25.3	73.6	1.1	+/- 2.9	1123

NOTES
¹ Date is the last day that the poll was taken. Often polls are embargoed for several days until their release date.
² Margin of Error. MOE is related to sample size, 0.98 divided by the square root of the sample size at 95% confidence (19 times out of 20). For example, a sample of 1000 people has a MOE of +/- 3.1% and a sample of 2000 people has a MOE of +/- 2.2%. For rolling averages, the samples are assumed to be independent, thus sample sizes are aggregated to produce an overall MOE. In practice, some polling firms use lists with repeat calls; in these case, it is more precise to reduct these repeat calls from the overall sample size, thus the actual margin of error might be slightly higher. Example: 5 surveys of 1000 people would normally produce a MOE of +/- 1.4%, if samples were independent. If 25% of calls were repeat calls, however, a more accurate MOE would be based on 4000, not 5000, people, producing a MOE of +/- 1.5%.
³ Sample size.
⁴ Poll numbers exclude undecided voters (and in some cases include estimated for Others), thus are pro-rated to 100%. For example, if the raw poll data shows the Republican candidate with 47%, the Democratic candidate with 41%, Others with 2% and there were 10% undecided, the results excluding undecideds are: Republican 47/90 = 52.2, Democrat 41/90 = 45.6, Others 2/90 = 2.2.

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