2006 CANDIDATES
Ted Strickland
Ken Blackwell
Bob Fitrakis
Bill Peirce

DATE 1					MOE 2	S 3
NOV 3		36.0	62.5	1.5	+/- 1.5	4008
OCT 29		38.5	59.9	1.6	+/- 1.8	2860
OCT 15		36.3	60.6	3.1	+/- 1.7	3462

DATE 1	POLLSTER				MOE 2	S 3
NOV 3	COLUMBUS DISPATCH	31.3	67.7	2.5	+/- 2.5	1541
NOV 2	MASON-DIXON	38.9	58.9	2.1	+/- 3.9	625
OCT 30	OPINION CONSULTANTS	40.6	57.3	2.1	+/- 3.5	800
OCT 29	CNN	37.5	61.5	1.0	+/- 4.2	542
OCT 25	RASMUSSEN	37.5	60.4	2.1	+/- 4.4	500
OCT 25	SURVEY USA	33.0	63.9	3.1	+/- 4.1	563
OCT 20	MASON-DIXON	38.2	60.7	1.1	+/- 3.9	625
OCT 16	ZOGBY/WSJ	44.1	54.8	1.1	+/- 3.6	750
OCT 15	QUINNIPIAC	34.0	62.8	3.2	+/- 3.3	901
OCT 15	NY TIMES/CBS	34.5	63.1	2.4	+/- 3.1	1020
OCT 14	OHIO POLL	40.4	55.3	4.3	+/- 4.3	526
OCT 11	SURVEY USA	33.7	63.2	3.2	+/- 4.3	526
OCT 3	RASMUSSEN	42.1	54.7	3.2	+/- 4.4	500

NOTES
¹ Date is the last day that the poll was taken. Often polls are embargoed for several days until their release date.
² Margin of Error. MOE is related to sample size, 0.98 divided by the square root of the sample size at 95% confidence (19 times out of 20). For example, a sample of 1000 people has a MOE of +/- 3.1% and a sample of 2000 people has a MOE of +/- 2.2%. For rolling averages, the samples are assumed to be independent, thus sample sizes are aggregated to produce an overall MOE. In practice, some polling firms use lists with repeat calls; in these case, it is more precise to reduct these repeat calls from the overall sample size, thus the actual margin of error might be slightly higher. Example: 5 surveys of 1000 people would normally produce a MOE of +/- 1.4%, if samples were independent. If 25% of calls were repeat calls, however, a more accurate MOE would be based on 4000, not 5000, people, producing a MOE of +/- 1.5%.
³ Sample size.
⁴ Poll numbers exclude undecided voters (and in some cases include estimated for Others), thus are pro-rated to 100%. For example, if the raw poll data shows the Republican candidate with 47%, the Democratic candidate with 41%, Others with 2% and there were 10% undecided, the results excluding undecideds are: Republican 47/90 = 52.2, Democrat 41/90 = 45.6, Others 2/90 = 2.2.

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