Libertarian
Reform
Independence
Peace & Freedom
Marijuana
Socialist
Socialist Workers
Socialist Equality
Personal Choice
Liberty Union Peace
Mountain
MN Independence
2006 CANDIDATES
Joe Lieberman
Ned Lamont
Alan Schlesinger
Ralph Ferrucci
Timothy Knibbs
| DATE 1 |  |
|
|
|
MOE 2 | S 3 |
| NOV 5 | 8.4 | 39.6 | 51.8 | +/- 1.7 | 3454 | |
| OCT 28 | 7.0 | 40.3 | 52.7 | +/- 1.8 | 3078 | |
| OCT 20 | 6.2 | 39.1 | 54.7 | +/- 1.7 | 3178 | |
| OCT 3 | 5.0 | 43.1 | 51.9 | +/- 1.6 | 3906 |
| DATE 1 | POLLSTER | |
|
|
MOE 2 | S 3 |
| NOV 5 | QUINNIPAC | 8.3 | 39.6 | 52.1 | +/- 3.8 | 676 |
| NOV 4 | SURVEY USA | 9.4 | 39.6 | 50.0 | +/- 3.8 | 652 |
| NOV 1 | RESEARCH 2000 | 7.2 | 40.2 | 52.6 | +/- 4.0 | 600 |
| OCT 31 | REUTERS/ZOGBY | 8.5 | 39.4 | 52.1 | +/- 4.0 | 600 |
| OCT 30 | QUINNIPIAC | 8.5 | 39.4 | 52.1 | +/- 3.2 | 600 |
| OCT 28 | RASMUSSEN | 9.3 | 41.2 | 49.5 | +/- 4.4 | 500 |
| OCT 27 | ZOGBY/WSJ | 6.3 | 44.3 | 49.4 | +/- 4.3 | 525 |
| OCT 20 | AMERICAN RESEARCH | 9.5 | 38.9 | 51.6 | +/- 4.0 | 600 |
| OCT 19 | QUINNIPIAC | 6.5 | 37.6 | 55.9 | +/- 3.3 | 881 |
| OCT 11 | SURVEY USA | 4.1 | 41.2 | 54.6 | +/- 4.1 | 572 |
| OCT 3 | RASMUSSEN | 6.3 | 41.7 | 52.1 | +/- 4.2 | 550 |
| OCT 3 | REUTERS/ZOGBY | 4.4 | 36.7 | 58.9 | +/- 4.1 | 575 |
| SEP 25 | ZOGBY/WSJ | 5.3 | 46.4 | 48.3 | +/- 3.1 | 1000 |
| SEP 25 | QUINNIPIAC | 5.4 | 41.9 | 52.7 | +/- 2.9 | 1181 |
| SEP 19 | AMERICAN RESEARCH | 3.2 | 47.4 | 49.4 | +/- 4.0 | 600 |
NOTES
1 Date is the last day that the poll was taken. Often polls are embargoed for several days until their release date.
2 Margin of Error. MOE is related to sample size, 0.98 divided by the square root of the sample size at 95% confidence (19 times out of 20). For example, a sample of 1000 people has a MOE of +/- 3.1% and a sample of 2000 people has a MOE of +/- 2.2%. For rolling averages, the samples are assumed to be independent, thus sample sizes are aggregated to produce an overall MOE. In practice, some polling firms use lists with repeat calls; in these case, it is more precise to reduct these repeat calls from the overall sample size, thus the actual margin of error might be slightly higher. Example: 5 surveys of 1000 people would normally produce a MOE of +/- 1.4%, if samples were independent. If 25% of calls were repeat calls, however, a more accurate MOE would be based on 4000, not 5000, people, producing a MOE of +/- 1.5%.
3 Sample size.
4 Poll numbers exclude undecided voters (and in some cases include estimated for Others), thus are pro-rated to 100%. For example, if the raw poll data shows the Republican candidate with 47%, the Democratic candidate with 41%, Others with 2% and there were 10% undecided, the results excluding undecideds are: Republican 47/90 = 52.2, Democrat 41/90 = 45.6, Others 2/90 = 2.2.
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