2006 CANDIDATES
Robert Menendez
Thomas Kean Jr.
Len Flynn
Edward Forchion
Gregory Pason
Angela Lariscy
Daryl Brooks
J.M. Carter
N. Leonard Smith

DATE 1					MOE 2	S 3
NOV 6		45.2	52.9	1.9	+/- 1.2	7179
NOV 2		45.3	52.9	1.8	+/- 1.3	5385
OCT 29		46.6	51.6	1.9	+/- 1.8	3086
OCT 25		46.8	49.9	3.3	+/- 2.0	2357
OCT 11		45.4	51.8	2.8	+/- 1.8	2917

DATE 1	POLLSTER				MOE 2	S 3
NOV 6	QUINNIPIAC	46.7	52.2	1.1	+/- 3.2	917
NOV 4	USA TODAY/GALLUP	43.0	53.8	3.2	+/- 3.3	877
NOV 3	MARIST	44.7	53.2	2.1	+/- 3.9	619
NOV 3	MASON-DIXON	45.1	52.7	2.2	+/- 3.9	625
OCT 29	CNN	45.8	53.1	1.0	+/- 4.1	577
OCT 29	QUINNIPIAC	46.8	52.1	1.1	+/- 3.3	887
OCT 28	RASMUSSEN	46.8	52.1	1.1	+/- 4.4	500
OCT 25	RESEARCH 2000	48.3	48.3	3.4	+/- 4.3	522
OCT 25	CBS/NYT	48.3	48.3	3.4	+/- 4.3	522
OCT 25	RASMUSSEN	48.4	48.4	3.2	+/- 4.4	500
OCT 23	LA TIMES/BLOOMBERG	46.1	50.6	3.4	+/- 5.5	314
OCT 21	MASON-DIXON	46.7	50.0	3.3	+/- 3.9	625
OCT 11	RASMUSSEN	46.4	50.0	3.6	+/- 4.4	500
OCT 10	QUINNIPIAC	47.4	51.6	1.1	+/- 3.6	761
OCT 2	REUTERS/ZOGBY	41.7	54.8	3.6	+/- 4.0	600
OCT 2	FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON	44.3	52.3	3.4	+/- 4.3	514
OCT 1	USATODAY/GALLUP	46.7	50.0	3.3	+/- 4.2	542

NOTES
¹ Date is the last day that the poll was taken. Often polls are embargoed for several days until their release date.
² Margin of Error. MOE is related to sample size, 0.98 divided by the square root of the sample size at 95% confidence (19 times out of 20). For example, a sample of 1000 people has a MOE of +/- 3.1% and a sample of 2000 people has a MOE of +/- 2.2%. For rolling averages, the samples are assumed to be independent, thus sample sizes are aggregated to produce an overall MOE. In practice, some polling firms use lists with repeat calls; in these case, it is more precise to reduct these repeat calls from the overall sample size, thus the actual margin of error might be slightly higher. Example: 5 surveys of 1000 people would normally produce a MOE of +/- 1.4%, if samples were independent. If 25% of calls were repeat calls, however, a more accurate MOE would be based on 4000, not 5000, people, producing a MOE of +/- 1.5%.
³ Sample size.
⁴ Poll numbers exclude undecided voters (and in some cases include estimated for Others), thus are pro-rated to 100%. For example, if the raw poll data shows the Republican candidate with 47%, the Democratic candidate with 41%, Others with 2% and there were 10% undecided, the results excluding undecideds are: Republican 47/90 = 52.2, Democrat 41/90 = 45.6, Others 2/90 = 2.2.

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