2006 CANDIDATES
Hillary Rodham Clinton
Jim Spencer
Howie Hawkins
Jeff Russell
Bill Van Auken
Kathleen Troia McFarland
Boris Krymskiy

DATE 1					MOE 2	S 3
NOV 1		32.7	66.4	0.9	+/- 1.6	3531
OCT 18		32.8	65.9	1.3	+/- 1.5	4411
OCT 12		34.1	64.2	1.7	+/- 1.4	4985
OCT 1		34.6	63.5	1.9	+/- 1.3	5365

DATE 1	POLLSTER				MOE 2	S 3
NOV 1	SIENA	32.7	69.1	1.1	+/- 4.4	500
NOV 1	WNBC/MARIST	33.0	67.0	0.0	+/- 4.4	500
OCT 27	ZOGBY/WSJ	36.3	62.6	1.1	+/- 3.1	1000
OCT 18	WNBC/MARIST	31.3	67.7	1.0	+/- 4.5	475
OCT 16	QUINNIPIAC	31.3	67.7	1.0	+/- 3.0	1053
OCT 12	SIENA	34.8	64.1	1.1	+/- 3.9	620
OCT 1	QUNNIPIAC	31.6	67.3	1.0	+/- 2.8	1263
SEP 25	ZOGBY/WSJ	35.3	62.4	2.3	+/- 3.1	1000
SEP 11	ZOGBY/WSJ	36.2	61.6	2.2	+/- 3.1	1000
SEP 7	WNBC/MARIST	33.3	64.6	2.1	+/- 3.0	1102
AUG 28	ZOGBY/WSJ	34.7	65.3	-	+/- 3.1	1000

NOTES
¹ Date is the last day that the poll was taken. Often polls are embargoed for several days until their release date.
² Margin of Error. MOE is related to sample size, 0.98 divided by the square root of the sample size at 95% confidence (19 times out of 20). For example, a sample of 1000 people has a MOE of +/- 3.1% and a sample of 2000 people has a MOE of +/- 2.2%. For rolling averages, the samples are assumed to be independent, thus sample sizes are aggregated to produce an overall MOE. In practice, some polling firms use lists with repeat calls; in these case, it is more precise to reduct these repeat calls from the overall sample size, thus the actual margin of error might be slightly higher. Example: 5 surveys of 1000 people would normally produce a MOE of +/- 1.4%, if samples were independent. If 25% of calls were repeat calls, however, a more accurate MOE would be based on 4000, not 5000, people, producing a MOE of +/- 1.5%.
³ Sample size.
⁴ Poll numbers exclude undecided voters (and in some cases include estimated for Others), thus are pro-rated to 100%. For example, if the raw poll data shows the Republican candidate with 47%, the Democratic candidate with 41%, Others with 2% and there were 10% undecided, the results excluding undecideds are: Republican 47/90 = 52.2, Democrat 41/90 = 45.6, Others 2/90 = 2.2.

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