2006 CANDIDATES
Harold Ford, Jr.
Bob Corker
Chris Lugo
Ed Choate
David “None of the Above” Gatchell
Emory “Bo” Heyward
H. Gary Keplinger

DATE 1					MOE 2	S 3
NOV 5		52.6	45.9	1.5	+/- 1.4	4822
OCT 30		49.6	48.4	2.0	+/- 1.7	3236
OCT 25		47.2	50.5	2.3	+/- 1.7	3320
OCT 11		47.8	50.2	2.1	+/- 1.8	3030

DATE 1	POLLSTER				MOE 2	S 3
NOV 5	SURVEY USA	52.6	47.4	0.0	+/- 3.8	679
NOV 4	RASMUSSEN	52.6	48.0	0.0	+/- 4.4	500
NOV 3	USA TODAY/GALLUP	50.5	47.4	2.1	+/- 3.3	877
NOV 3	MASON-DIXON	54.9	41.8	3.3	+/- 3.9	625
NOV 2	RASMUSSEN	53.0	45.0	2.0	+/- 4.4	500
OCT 31	REUTERS	54.1	43.9	2.0	+/- 4.0	600
OCT 30	RASMUSSEN	50.0	48.0	2.0	+/- 4.4	500
OCT 29	CNN	53.6	45.4	1.0	+/- 4.2	541
OCT 27	ZOGBY/WSJ	49.5	48.5	2.0	+/- 3.3	900
OCT 25	SURVEY USA	49.0	49.0	2.0	+/- 3.5	780
OCT 23	LA TIMES/BLOOMBERG	45.8	51.0	3.1	+/- 4.3	515
OCT 20	MASON-DIXON	50.0	47.8	2.2	+/- 3.9	625
OCT 19	RASMUSSEN	46.3	51.6	2.1	+/- 4.4	500
OCT 16	ZOGBY/WSJ	45.0	52.9	2.1	+/- 3.3	900
OCT 11	RASMUSSEN	47.9	50.0	2.1	+/- 4.4	500
OCT 9	SURVEY USA	50.0	47.9	2.1	+/- 4.2	539
OCT 2	REUTERS/ZOGBY	48.2	48.2	3.6	+/- 4.0	600
OCT 1	USATODAY/GALLUP	46.9	52.1	1.0	+/- 3.3	891
OCT 1	RASMUSSEN	46.2	51.6	2.2	+/- 4.4	500

NOTES
¹ Date is the last day that the poll was taken. Often polls are embargoed for several days until their release date.
² Margin of Error. MOE is related to sample size, 0.98 divided by the square root of the sample size at 95% confidence (19 times out of 20). For example, a sample of 1000 people has a MOE of +/- 3.1% and a sample of 2000 people has a MOE of +/- 2.2%. For rolling averages, the samples are assumed to be independent, thus sample sizes are aggregated to produce an overall MOE. In practice, some polling firms use lists with repeat calls; in these case, it is more precise to reduct these repeat calls from the overall sample size, thus the actual margin of error might be slightly higher. Example: 5 surveys of 1000 people would normally produce a MOE of +/- 1.4%, if samples were independent. If 25% of calls were repeat calls, however, a more accurate MOE would be based on 4000, not 5000, people, producing a MOE of +/- 1.5%.
³ Sample size.
⁴ Poll numbers exclude undecided voters (and in some cases include estimated for Others), thus are pro-rated to 100%. For example, if the raw poll data shows the Republican candidate with 47%, the Democratic candidate with 41%, Others with 2% and there were 10% undecided, the results excluding undecideds are: Republican 47/90 = 52.2, Democrat 41/90 = 45.6, Others 2/90 = 2.2.

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