2006 CANDIDATES
James H. Webb
George Allen
Gail Parker
Steve Moyer

DATE 1					MOE 2	S 3
NOV 5		48.8	49.4	1.7	+/- 1.9	2641
NOV 2		48.2	49.7	2.1	+/- 1.9	2650
OCT 29		48.2	49.6	2.2	+/- 1.9	2595
OCT 24		50.0	47.8	2.2	+/- 1.8	3123
OCT 12		51.5	46.4	2.1	+/- 1.7	3451

DATE 1	POLLSTER				MOE 2	S 3
NOV 5	SURVEY USA	44.4	52.5	3.0	+/- 3.6	741
NOV 3	MASON-DIXON	48.4	49.5	2.2	+/- 3.9	625
NOV 3	USA TODAY/GALLUP	51.0	47.9	1.0	+/- 3.2	916
NOV 2	RASMUSSEN	49.0	49.0	2.0	+/- 4.4	500
OCT 31	REUTERS/ZOGBY	48.4	49.5	2.2	+/- 4.0	600
OCT 29	ROANOKE COLLEGE	50.6	47.2	2.2	+/- 4.6	453
OCT 29	RASMUSSEN	46.5	51.5	2.0	+/- 4.4	500
OCT 29	CNN	46.9	51.0	2.0	+/- 4.0	597
OCT 24	SURVEY USA	50.5	47.4	2.1	+/- 4.0	613
OCT 24	RASMUSSEN	49.5	48.5	2.0	+/- 4.4	500
OCT 23	LA TIMES/BLOOMBERG	46.8	50.0	3.2	+/- 5.0	385
OCT 19	MASON-DIXON	51.1	46.7	2.2	+/- 3.9	625
OCT 16	ZOGBY/WSJ	50.5	47.5	2.0	+/- 3.1	1000
OCT 12	WASHINGTON POST	50.0	48.0	2.0	+/- 3.1	1004
OCT 12	RASMUSSEN	50.5	47.4	2.1	+/- 4.4	500
OCT 2	REUTERS/ZOGBY	55.2	42.5	2.3	+/- 4.0	600
OCT 1	USATODAY/GALLUP	50.5	47.4	2.1	+/- 4.0	597
OCT 1	RASMUSSEN	52.1	45.7	2.1	+/- 3.6	750
SEP 28	SURVEY USA	51.5	45.4	3.1	+/- 4.0	612

NOTES
¹ Date is the last day that the poll was taken. Often polls are embargoed for several days until their release date.
² Margin of Error. MOE is related to sample size, 0.98 divided by the square root of the sample size at 95% confidence (19 times out of 20). For example, a sample of 1000 people has a MOE of +/- 3.1% and a sample of 2000 people has a MOE of +/- 2.2%. For rolling averages, the samples are assumed to be independent, thus sample sizes are aggregated to produce an overall MOE. In practice, some polling firms use lists with repeat calls; in these case, it is more precise to reduct these repeat calls from the overall sample size, thus the actual margin of error might be slightly higher. Example: 5 surveys of 1000 people would normally produce a MOE of +/- 1.4%, if samples were independent. If 25% of calls were repeat calls, however, a more accurate MOE would be based on 4000, not 5000, people, producing a MOE of +/- 1.5%.
³ Sample size.
⁴ Poll numbers exclude undecided voters (and in some cases include estimated for Others), thus are pro-rated to 100%. For example, if the raw poll data shows the Republican candidate with 47%, the Democratic candidate with 41%, Others with 2% and there were 10% undecided, the results excluding undecideds are: Republican 47/90 = 52.2, Democrat 41/90 = 45.6, Others 2/90 = 2.2.

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